CFB Betting Edge
2026 · Week 2 · ACC · the model's read vs the market — informational, not an ATS edge
AllBig TenSECBig 12ACCFBS IndependentsPac-12American AthleticMountain WestSun BeltMid-AmericanConference USA
Full Slate — ACC · Week 2 · 8 games
Georgia Southern @ ClemsonClemson 94%
Model
Clemson -22.3 · mkt Clemson —
proj Georgia Southern 16.3 · Clemson 38.7
Total
proj 55.0
UCF @ PittsburghPittsburgh 81%
Model
Pittsburgh -12.6 · mkt Pittsburgh —
proj UCF 22.1 · Pittsburgh 34.7
Total
proj 56.7
Duke @ IllinoisIllinois 72%
Model
Illinois -8.4 · mkt Illinois —
proj Duke 21.4 · Illinois 29.8
Total
proj 51.1
California @ SyracuseCalifornia 56%
Model
California -2.1 · mkt California —
proj California 28.9 · Syracuse 26.7
Total
proj 55.6
Old Dominion @ Virginia TechOld Dominion 58%
Model
Old Dominion -3.0 · mkt Old Dominion —
proj Old Dominion 30.5 · Virginia Tech 27.5
Total
proj 58.0
Rutgers @ Boston CollegeRutgers 65%
Model
Rutgers -5.3 · mkt Rutgers —
proj Rutgers 31.3 · Boston College 26.0
Total
proj 57.3
Tennessee @ Georgia TechTennessee 66%
Model
Tennessee -5.8 · mkt Tennessee —
proj Tennessee 32.5 · Georgia Tech 26.7
Total
proj 59.2
Wake Forest @ PurdueWake Forest 69%
Model
Wake Forest -6.9 · mkt Wake Forest —
proj Wake Forest 30.6 · Purdue 23.7
Total
proj 54.4
The model beats SP+ but not the closing line (ATS ≈ break-even). “Model−Mkt” is the gap between our projected home margin and the market's implied margin — a read on disagreement, not a profitable edge. Upcoming games have no closing line yet, so the market number marked ~ is the consensus midpoint of the best posted spreads across books.