CFB Betting Edge
2026 · Week 7 · Big Ten · the model's read vs the market — informational, not an ATS edge
AllBig TenSECBig 12ACCFBS IndependentsPac-12American AthleticMountain WestSun BeltMid-AmericanConference USA
Top Edges — biggest model vs market gaps + best price
Ohio State @ Indiana5.5 pt gap
Model vs mktIndiana -5.5 · mkt Indiana ~0.0
LeanIndiana 0.0
Best priceIndiana +1.5 -114best of 2
WinIndiana 65%
Full Slate — Big Ten · Week 7 · 7 games
Ohio State @ IndianaIndiana 65%
Model
Indiana -5.5 · mkt Indiana ~0.0
proj Ohio State 29.5 · Indiana 34.9
leans Indiana 0.0
◆ Mid 3
Indiana +1.5 -114BetRivers
Ohio State +1.5 -120FanDuel
Nebraska @ OregonOregon 92%
Model
Oregon -19.5 · mkt Oregon —
proj Nebraska 16.9 · Oregon 36.5
Total
proj 53.4
Penn State @ MichiganMichigan 52%
Model
Michigan -0.9 · mkt Michigan —
proj Penn State 26.8 · Michigan 27.6
Total
proj 54.4
Rutgers @ MarylandRutgers 52%
Model
Rutgers -0.7 · mkt Rutgers —
proj Rutgers 26.0 · Maryland 25.3
Total
proj 51.2
Northwestern @ Michigan StateNorthwestern 61%
Model
Northwestern -3.8 · mkt Northwestern —
proj Northwestern 27.4 · Michigan State 23.6
Total
proj 51.0
Washington @ PurdueWashington 86%
Model
Washington -15.2 · mkt Washington —
proj Washington 37.8 · Purdue 22.6
Total
proj 60.4
The model beats SP+ but not the closing line (ATS ≈ break-even). “Model−Mkt” is the gap between our projected home margin and the market's implied margin — a read on disagreement, not a profitable edge. Upcoming games have no closing line yet, so the market number marked ~ is the consensus midpoint of the best posted spreads across books.