CFB Betting Edge

2026 · Week 7 · FBS Independents · the model's read vs the market — informational, not an ATS edge

All Big Ten SEC Big 12 ACC FBS Independents Pac-12 American Athletic Mountain West Sun Belt Mid-American Conference USA

Season2026 2025 2024

Week1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Top Edges — biggest model vs market gaps + best price

Notre Dame @ BYU6.4 pt gap

Model vs mktNotre Dame -4.1 · mkt Notre Dame ~-10.5

LeanBYU +10.5

Best priceBYU +10.5 -110best of 1

WinNotre Dame 61%

Full Slate — FBS Independents · Week 7 · 1 games

Notre Dame @ BYUNotre Dame 61%

Model

Notre Dame -4.1 · mkt Notre Dame ~-10.5

proj Notre Dame 28.2 · BYU 24.1

leans BYU +10.5

◆ Mid 0

BYU +10.5 -110DraftKings

Notre Dame -10.5 -110DraftKings

The model beats SP+ but not the closing line (ATS ≈ break-even). “Model−Mkt” is the gap between our projected home margin and the market's implied margin — a read on disagreement, not a profitable edge. Upcoming games have no closing line yet, so the market number marked ~ is the consensus midpoint of the best posted spreads across books.