CFB Betting Edge
2026 · Week 2 · Pac-12 · the model's read vs the market — informational, not an ATS edge
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Full Slate — Pac-12 · Week 2 · 7 games
Utah State @ WashingtonWashington 93%
Model
Washington -21.3 · mkt Washington —
proj Utah State 17.1 · Washington 38.4
Total
proj 55.5
Sacramento State @ Fresno StateFresno State 93%
Model
Fresno State -21.0 · mkt Fresno State —
proj Sacramento State 17.8 · Fresno State 38.8
Total
proj 56.6
Washington State @ Kansas StateKansas State 73%
Model
Kansas State -8.5 · mkt Kansas State —
proj Washington State 21.9 · Kansas State 30.4
Total
proj 52.4
Memphis @ Boise StateBoise State 58%
Model
Boise State -2.7 · mkt Boise State —
proj Memphis 25.3 · Boise State 28.0
Total
proj 53.3
UTSA @ Texas StateTexas State 55%
Model
Texas State -1.7 · mkt Texas State —
proj UTSA 28.2 · Texas State 30.0
Total
proj 58.2
San Diego State @ UCLASan Diego State 66%
Model
San Diego State -6.0 · mkt San Diego State —
proj San Diego State 30.8 · UCLA 24.8
Total
proj 55.6
Texas Tech @ Oregon StateTexas Tech 93%
Model
Texas Tech -21.0 · mkt Texas Tech —
proj Texas Tech 35.1 · Oregon State 14.1
Total
proj 49.2
The model beats SP+ but not the closing line (ATS ≈ break-even). “Model−Mkt” is the gap between our projected home margin and the market's implied margin — a read on disagreement, not a profitable edge. Upcoming games have no closing line yet, so the market number marked ~ is the consensus midpoint of the best posted spreads across books.