CFB Betting Edge
2026 · Week 13 · SEC · the model's read vs the market — informational, not an ATS edge
AllBig TenSECBig 12ACCFBS IndependentsAmerican AthleticMountain WestSun BeltMid-AmericanConference USA
Full Slate — SEC · Week 13 · 10 games
Georgia Tech @ GeorgiaGeorgia 88%
Model
Georgia -16.4 · mkt Georgia —
proj Georgia Tech 18.3 · Georgia 34.7
Total
proj 53.0
Mississippi State @ Ole MissOle Miss 86%
Model
Ole Miss -15.1 · mkt Ole Miss —
proj Mississippi State 17.8 · Ole Miss 32.8
Total
proj 50.6
Texas @ Texas A&MTexas A&M 70%
Model
Texas A&M -7.5 · mkt Texas A&M —
proj Texas 23.1 · Texas A&M 30.6
Total
proj 53.6
South Carolina @ ClemsonClemson 68%
Model
Clemson -6.7 · mkt Clemson —
proj South Carolina 22.4 · Clemson 29.1
Total
proj 51.5
Auburn @ AlabamaAlabama 66%
Model
Alabama -6.0 · mkt Alabama —
proj Auburn 24.2 · Alabama 30.2
Total
proj 54.5
Florida @ Florida StateFlorida State 58%
Model
Florida State -3.0 · mkt Florida State —
proj Florida 24.7 · Florida State 27.7
Total
proj 52.5
Tennessee @ VanderbiltVanderbilt 53%
Model
Vanderbilt -0.9 · mkt Vanderbilt —
proj Tennessee 25.9 · Vanderbilt 26.9
Total
proj 52.8
Louisville @ KentuckyKentucky 51%
Model
Kentucky -0.3 · mkt Kentucky —
proj Louisville 27.6 · Kentucky 27.9
Total
proj 55.5
Oklahoma @ MissouriOklahoma 56%
Model
Oklahoma -2.3 · mkt Oklahoma —
proj Oklahoma 28.6 · Missouri 26.3
Total
proj 54.9
The model beats SP+ but not the closing line (ATS ≈ break-even). “Model−Mkt” is the gap between our projected home margin and the market's implied margin — a read on disagreement, not a profitable edge. Upcoming games have no closing line yet, so the market number marked ~ is the consensus midpoint of the best posted spreads across books.