NHL Projections · Hits

Skaters · 2025-26 (model vs actual) · per-82-GP

58% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model

PositionSkaters Goalies

StatPoints Goals Assists Shots PP Points Hits Blocks PIM

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2025-26 · actual vs p50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	P	G	A	SOG	PPP	HIT ↓	BLK	PIM	Range	Actual	Δ
1	Jeremy Lauzon	D	VGK	13	4	10	87	0	297	102	90	207–340	251	−46
2	Kiefer Sherwood	L	SJS	35	14	19	135	2	266	31	41	158–334	339	+73
3	Jack McBain	C	UTA	27	11	17	97	1	266	51	67	187–316	271	+5
4	Will Cuylle	L	NYR	40	17	23	145	4	265	43	50	169–325	302	+37
5	Mathieu Olivier	R	CBJ	26	11	15	104	0	262	70	108	165–314	209	−53
6	Marc Gatcomb	C	NYI	22	13	9	101	1	262	48	30	161–327	192	−70
7	Lian Bichsel	D	DAL	22	7	15	100	1	257	52	71	173–328	139	−118
8	Michael Pezzetta	L	TOR	13	6	8	65	0	255	40	80	210–355	30	−225
9	Tanner Jeannot	L	BOS	19	8	9	81	0	253	48	94	198–307	239	−14
10	Marcus Foligno	L	MIN	27	12	15	87	1	252	53	77	180–296	180	−72
11	Brady Tkachuk	L	OTT	70	35	37	325	22	250	31	134	173–300	162	−88
12	Liam O'Brien	C	UTA	13	7	9	76	0	250	36	143	179–328	115	−135
13	Dakota Joshua	C	TOR	25	12	12	83	1	246	45	61	178–297	195	−51
14	Keegan Kolesar	R	VGK	25	10	14	86	0	243	47	50	178–307	270	+27
15	Radko Gudas	D	ANA	19	4	14	101	0	243	159	99	203–317	164	−79
16	Nathan Walker	L	STL	17	7	10	75	0	242	59	48	162–310	179	−63
17	Yakov Trenin	C	MIN	18	10	9	104	0	231	35	47	163–295	413	+182
18	Zachary L'Heureux	L	NSH	26	10	15	109	2	228	36	70	146–301	64	−164
19	Samuel Helenius	C	LAK	15	8	7	67	1	226	31	38	133–317	144	−82
20	Adam Klapka	R	CGY	25	12	12	115	1	226	56	81	173–309	295	+69
21	Tom Wilson	R	WSH	56	26	29	170	15	225	74	113	154–262	179	−46
22	Evander Kane	L	VAN	48	26	23	232	8	225	33	77	164–265	111	−114
23	Simon Benoit	D	TOR	10	2	9	65	0	221	120	62	139–312	194	−27
24	Jonah Gadjovich	L	FLA	13	8	6	80	0	218	36	137	157–299	30	−188
25	Colton Dach	C	EDM	25	9	16	106	2	216	44	46	147–300	219	+3
26	Martin Pospisil	C	CGY	30	10	19	119	2	214	29	91	130–269	84	−130
27	Arber Xhekaj	D	MTL	16	4	11	93	1	213	92	122	153–254	178	−35
28	Moritz Seider	D	DET	47	9	40	167	20	212	156	42	128–249	128	−84
29	Connor Clifton	D	PIT	18	3	15	80	0	211	124	57	138–253	180	−31
30	Ryan Reaves	R	SJS	9	3	6	36	0	209	32	62	142–336	160	−49
31	Luke Schenn	D	BUF	13	3	10	83	0	207	82	57	55–255	149	−58
32	William Carrier	L	CAR	24	13	10	109	0	206	27	34	136–274	172	−34
33	Emil Heineman	L	NYI	24	10	14	89	3	206	34	24	133–274	247	+41
34	Ross Johnston	L	ANA	8	2	5	43	0	206	34	136	161–278	192	−14
35	Adam Erne	L	DAL	15	6	8	66	1	202	51	28	160–275	142	−60
36	Eeli Tolvanen	R	SEA	37	18	19	146	6	200	66	23	158–266	187	−13
37	Martin Fehérváry	D	WSH	22	5	16	86	0	199	112	30	33–239	110	−89
38	Matt Rempe	C	NYR	17	8	9	70	1	198	29	151	109–291	86	−112
39	Noah Juulsen	D	PHI	10	2	10	63	0	197	103	42	31–266	104	−93
40	Sammy Blais	L	MTL	19	6	11	67	1	197	28	44	109–294	78	−119
41	Erik Cernak	D	TBL	18	3	15	80	0	196	100	56	33–227	112	−84
42	Nick Foligno	L	MIN	28	12	18	105	6	194	37	50	129–224	128	−66
43	MacKenzie Weegar	D	UTA	44	11	32	176	14	193	159	41	145–238	167	−26
44	Cole Smith	R	VGK	17	6	11	81	0	193	31	69	106–210	173	−20
45	Alexey Toropchenko	R	STL	20	9	12	96	0	192	55	26	134–276	132	−60
46	Nikita Zadorov	D	BOS	23	6	15	101	0	192	99	114	148–249	196	+4
47	Vasily Podkolzin	R	EDM	25	10	15	105	0	190	46	37	140–225	242	+52
48	Garrett Wilson	L	PHI	9	5	5	91	0	189	30	39	121–251	6	−183
49	Bokondji Imama	L	PIT	13	7	7	67	1	189	40	124	132–294	3	−186
50	Joona Koppanen	L	PIT	15	5	10	85	1	188	42	32	129–253	11	−177
51	Vincent Trocheck	C	NYR	61	23	39	192	15	187	73	48	154–226	193	+6
52	Cole Koepke	L	WPG	18	10	9	91	0	185	30	17	125–215	186	+1
53	Lawson Crouse	L	UTA	34	17	15	135	4	184	53	37	127–229	212	+28
54	Garnet Hathaway	R	PHI	19	9	11	86	0	184	42	82	94–240	252	+68
55	Adam Edstrom	C	NYR	15	10	6	78	2	183	33	34	120–282	65	−118
56	J.T. Miller	C	NYR	76	27	51	162	27	183	51	54	120–231	123	−60
57	Luke Kunin	C	FLA	20	11	11	114	2	182	77	67	136–233	123	−59
58	Curtis Lazar	C	EDM	15	6	9	69	0	182	57	34	116–244	95	−87
59	Steven Lorentz	C	TOR	18	7	9	84	0	179	49	15	119–225	154	−25
60	Alexander Romanov	D	NYI	22	5	18	120	0	178	169	30	113–224	31	−147
61	Jayden Struble	D	MTL	18	3	13	78	0	178	86	77	108–216	115	−63
62	Brandon Duhaime	R	WSH	18	8	11	88	0	177	51	75	120–216	159	−18
63	Brenden Dillon	D	NJD	17	4	12	60	0	176	106	67	104–228	202	+26
64	Juraj Slafkovský	L	MTL	50	20	32	146	11	174	63	51	122–234	105	−69
65	Aatu Räty	C	VAN	28	14	15	100	2	174	28	33	100–238	165	−9
66	Tye Kartye	L	NYR	17	8	9	88	0	173	34	44	41–256	173	−0
67	Connor Dewar	C	PIT	18	9	10	90	0	173	50	30	118–258	144	−29
68	Jordan Greenway	L	BUF	22	10	13	105	1	171	61	66	114–249	57	−114
69	Mitchell Chaffee	R	TBL	22	11	11	93	2	171	35	23	135–217	29	−142
70	Josh Manson	D	COL	23	5	17	108	0	171	103	65	50–198	174	+3
71	Paul Cotter	L	NJD	24	12	12	101	1	171	28	45	84–260	192	+21
72	Jacob Trouba	D	ANA	21	4	18	124	1	169	200	65	105–224	143	−26
73	Nicolas Aube-Kubel	R	MIN	16	7	10	81	0	169	33	48	120–217	7	−162
74	Bo Groulx	C	TOR	11	5	10	69	1	169	57	33	96–233	34	−135
75	Parker Kelly	C	COL	18	8	10	95	0	168	51	35	38–211	177	+9
76	Brayden Pachal	D	CGY	14	3	10	78	0	168	99	84	120–225	89	−79
77	Mason Geertsen	D	BUF	12	7	7	54	0	168	37	145	119–260	8	−160
78	Nathan Bastian	R	DAL	17	8	10	77	0	167	45	45	30–237	85	−82
79	Brayden Schenn	C	NYI	44	16	26	141	9	166	51	53	123–207	180	+14
80	Ross Colton	C	COL	37	18	20	151	6	166	42	40	105–203	159	−7
81	Zachary Aston-Reese	L	CBJ	18	9	10	91	0	166	54	30	97–221	78	−88
82	Marc McLaughlin	C	NJD	18	9	8	88	1	165	39	20	90–233	4	−161
83	Sean Kuraly	C	BOS	18	8	10	86	0	165	47	43	109–223	87	−78
84	Josh Norris	C	BUF	53	26	26	166	16	165	64	53	107–238	24	−141
85	Scott Laughton	C	LAK	29	12	20	130	3	164	54	44	111–206	121	−43
86	Sam Bennett	C	FLA	55	26	27	241	13	164	47	91	109–191	115	−49
87	Josh Anderson	R	MTL	24	12	13	124	1	164	44	76	119–208	129	−35
88	Zack Ostapchuk	C	SJS	14	7	9	64	1	164	45	44	101–228	140	−24
89	Philippe Myers	D	TOR	13	4	9	108	1	163	90	35	101–211	55	−108
90	Andrei Svechnikov	R	CAR	62	24	36	210	18	162	29	71	121–213	148	−14
91	Noel Acciari	C	PIT	14	6	7	78	0	162	78	18	48–203	65	−97
92	Zack MacEwen	C	NJD	11	7	6	82	0	161	32	103	49–230	6	−155
93	Jesper Boqvist	C	FLA	23	10	12	90	0	161	28	18	92–209	141	−20
94	Carl Grundstrom	R	PHI	20	10	9	126	1	161	30	26	37–199	139	−22
95	Ty Dellandrea	C	SJS	17	6	11	72	0	161	48	58	108–239	130	−31
96	Tyler Pitlick	R	MIN	15	6	8	71	0	160	40	16	121–223	78	−82
97	Ben Jones	C	MIN	12	7	7	80	1	160	42	36	113–231	58	−102
98	Dylan Holloway	L	STL	55	22	32	166	13	160	44	32	116–211	129	−31
99	Michael McCarron	C	MIN	18	8	9	88	0	159	63	101	106–221	205	+46
100	Ty Emberson	D	EDM	16	3	13	78	1	158	108	23	109–197	107	−51