Kent State at South CarolinaSouth Carolina -34.5o/u 52.5

ST Model South Carolina -32.9(-1.6 vs market)

Trends · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Kent State — the basics

132 graded games since 2014

on the road	31-41	43%	-2.8	n=72
as an underdog	45-54	45%	-2.7	n=99
spread 21+	18-19	49%	-1.4	n=37
out of conference	19-24	44%	-0.9	n=43
vs an FBS opponent	55-67	45%	-2.2	n=122
vs a P5 opponent	11-17	39%	-2.2	n=28
vs the SEC	4-4	50%	+2.7	n=8
in September	17-23	43%	-0.6	n=40
in the last 5 seasons	24-38	39%	-2.1	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Kent State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +5.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 132 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=132

Kent State — combinations

22 lean Kent State · 175 lean against

Read this first. 248 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs the SEC + in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+4.8	n=5
on the road + vs the SEC	4-4	50%from 43%	+2.7	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+4.8	n=5
+ in September	3-4	43%from 50%	+2.7	n=7
as an underdog + vs the SEC	4-4	50%from 45%	+2.7	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+4.8	n=5
+ in September	3-4	43%from 50%	+2.7	n=7
spread 21+ + vs the SEC	4-4	50%from 49%	+2.7	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+4.8	n=5
+ in September	3-4	43%from 50%	+2.7	n=7
out of conference + vs the SEC	4-4	50%from 44%	+2.7	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+4.8	n=5
+ in September	3-4	43%from 50%	+2.7	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + vs the SEC	4-4	50%from 45%	+2.7	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+4.8	n=5
+ in September	3-4	43%from 50%	+2.7	n=7
vs a P5 opponent + vs the SEC	4-4	50%from 39%	+2.7	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+4.8	n=5
+ in September	3-4	43%from 50%	+2.7	n=7
spread 21+ + in September	11-13	46%from 49%	-1.4	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 46%	+2.1	n=14
as an underdog + vs an FBS opponent	45-54	45%from 45%	-2.7	n=99
+ vs the SEC	4-4	50%from 45%	+2.7	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+4.8	n=5
+ in September	3-4	43%from 50%	+2.7	n=7
+ vs a P5 opponent	11-17	39%from 45%	-2.2	n=28
+ vs the SEC	4-4	50%from 39%	+2.7	n=8
+ in September	8-14	36%from 39%	-2.6	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-9	36%from 39%	-1.8	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-29	34%from 45%	-3.9	n=44
+ in September	10-20	33%from 45%	-3.1	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-10	33%from 33%	-0.6	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

South Carolina — the basics

144 graded games since 2014

at home	36-42	46%	+0.0	n=78
as a favorite	29-37	44%	-2.3	n=66
spread 21+	15-11	58%	+4.2	n=26
out of conference	21-28	43%	-2.1	n=49
vs an FBS opponent	65-68	49%	-0.2	n=133
vs a G5 opponent	14-14	50%	+0.6	n=28
in September	23-23	50%	+0.6	n=46
at this venue	36-42	46%	+0.0	n=78
in the last 5 seasons	35-28	56%	+2.9	n=63

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

South Carolina — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 144 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=144

South Carolina — combinations

177 lean South Carolina · 47 lean against

Read this first. 248 combinations shown. The best one here is 88%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
spread 21+ + in the last 5 seasons	9-3	75%from 58%	+10.2	n=12
spread 21+ + in September	8-3	73%from 58%	+6.0	n=11
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 73%	+4.9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 67%	+2.2	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 73%	+4.3	n=8
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	9-4	69%from 50%	+3.6	n=13
spread 21+ + vs an FBS opponent	11-6	65%from 58%	+5.8	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-1	88%from 65%	+15.3	n=8
+ in September	6-1	86%from 65%	+5.9	n=7
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 86%	+4.0	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 86%	+7.0	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-2	67%from 65%	+8.1	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+8.1	n=6
+ at this venue	6-5	55%from 65%	+6.2	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 55%	+16.3	n=5
vs a G5 opponent + in September	9-5	64%from 50%	+4.6	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 64%	+5.7	n=8
+ at this venue	8-5	62%from 64%	+4.9	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 62%	+6.4	n=7
in September + in the last 5 seasons	13-8	62%from 50%	+2.4	n=21
out of conference + in September	10-7	59%from 43%	+2.8	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 59%	+3.2	n=9
+ at this venue	8-5	62%from 59%	+4.9	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 62%	+6.4	n=7
as a favorite + in the last 5 seasons	17-12	59%from 44%	+0.9	n=29

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.