How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Arkansas — the basics
142 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 27-20 | 57% | +1.0 | n=47 |
| as an underdog | 49-34 | 59% | +0.7 | n=83 |
| spread 7.5-10.5 | 10-7 | 59% | +1.0 | n=17 |
| out of conference | 22-25 | 47% | -2.4 | n=47 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 70-63 | 53% | -1.3 | n=133 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 61-50 | 55% | -0.4 | n=111 |
| vs the Big 12 | 8-3 | 73% | +4.8 | n=11 |
| in September | 22-22 | 50% | -1.4 | n=44 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 32-30 | 52% | -0.9 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Arkansas — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -4.6 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 142 graded games: -1.2 pts vs their number per game | n=142 |
| Arkansas has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
Arkansas — combinations
121 lean Arkansas · 10 lean against
Read this first. 146 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| as an underdog + vs the Big 12 | 5-1 | 83%from 59% | +9.9 | n=6 |
| + in September | 4-1 | 80%from 83% | +8.7 | n=5 |
| vs the Big 12 + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +5.9 | n=5 |
| out of conference + vs the Big 12 | 8-3 | 73%from 47% | +4.8 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +5.9 | n=5 |
| + in September | 4-3 | 57%from 73% | +1.1 | n=7 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the Big 12 | 8-3 | 73%from 53% | +4.8 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +5.9 | n=5 |
| + in September | 4-3 | 57%from 73% | +1.1 | n=7 |
| vs a P5 opponent + vs the Big 12 | 8-3 | 73%from 55% | +4.8 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +5.9 | n=5 |
| + in September | 4-3 | 57%from 73% | +1.1 | n=7 |
| as an underdog + out of conference | 6-3 | 67%from 59% | +3.8 | n=9 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 5-1 | 83%from 67% | +9.9 | n=6 |
| + in September | 4-1 | 80%from 83% | +8.7 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +4.6 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 6-3 | 67%from 67% | +3.8 | n=9 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 5-1 | 83%from 67% | +9.9 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +4.6 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 6-3 | 67%from 67% | +3.8 | n=9 |
| + in September | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +0.9 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 6-3 | 67%from 67% | +3.8 | n=9 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 5-1 | 83%from 67% | +9.9 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +4.6 | n=5 |
| + in September | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +0.9 | n=6 |
| + in September | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +0.9 | n=6 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.