How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Missouri — the basics
148 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 26-32 | 45% | -0.6 | n=58 |
| as a favorite | 44-41 | 52% | +0.7 | n=85 |
| spread 3.5-7 | 22-12 | 65% | +2.8 | n=34 |
| out of conference | 28-22 | 56% | +1.6 | n=50 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 68-70 | 49% | -0.5 | n=138 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 57-61 | 48% | -1.0 | n=118 |
| vs the Big 12 | 3-3 | 50% | -1.3 | n=6 |
| in September | 21-22 | 49% | -0.9 | n=43 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 35-29 | 55% | +0.3 | n=64 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Missouri — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +1.8 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 148 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game | n=148 |
Missouri — combinations
67 lean Missouri · 46 lean against
Read this first. 141 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| as a favorite + spread 3.5-7 | 12-5 | 71%from 52% | +2.3 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-1 | 86%from 71% | +5.1 | n=7 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 10-4 | 71%from 71% | +2.1 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-1 | 83%from 71% | +5.9 | n=6 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 12-5 | 71%from 71% | +2.3 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-1 | 86%from 71% | +5.1 | n=7 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 10-4 | 71%from 71% | +2.1 | n=14 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 71% | -2.9 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 71% | -2.9 | n=5 |
| + out of conference | 4-4 | 50%from 71% | -3.1 | n=8 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 50% | -2.9 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-4 | 50%from 50% | -3.1 | n=8 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | -7.0 | n=5 |
| spread 3.5-7 + in the last 5 seasons | 12-5 | 71%from 65% | +4.1 | n=17 |
| on the road + spread 3.5-7 | 8-4 | 67%from 45% | +8.9 | n=12 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +8.9 | n=12 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-4 | 64%from 67% | +7.9 | n=11 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-4 | 64%from 67% | +7.9 | n=11 |
| spread 3.5-7 + in September | 6-3 | 67%from 65% | +0.2 | n=9 |
| spread 3.5-7 + vs an FBS opponent | 22-12 | 65%from 65% | +2.8 | n=34 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-5 | 71%from 65% | +4.1 | n=17 |
| + in September | 6-3 | 67%from 65% | +0.2 | n=9 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 20-11 | 65%from 65% | +2.7 | n=31 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-5 | 69%from 65% | +4.3 | n=16 |
| + in September | 4-3 | 57%from 65% | -2.6 | n=7 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.