How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Oklahoma — the basics
150 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 25-24 | 51% | +2.4 | n=49 |
| as an underdog | 12-10 | 55% | +0.5 | n=22 |
| spread 1-3 | 8-11 | 42% | -4.1 | n=19 |
| out of conference | 25-21 | 54% | +1.8 | n=46 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 73-73 | 50% | -0.4 | n=146 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 62-63 | 50% | -0.9 | n=125 |
| vs the Big Ten | 3-2 | 60% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| in September | 24-18 | 57% | +0.8 | n=42 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 31-32 | 49% | -1.4 | n=63 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Oklahoma — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 150 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game | n=150 |
| Oklahoma has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
Oklahoma — combinations
53 lean Oklahoma · 28 lean against
Read this first. 102 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 4.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + out of conference | 7-0 | 100%from 51% | +17.1 | n=7 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 7-0 | 100%from 100% | +17.1 | n=7 |
| + in September | 7-0 | 100%from 100% | +17.1 | n=7 |
| + in September | 7-0 | 100%from 100% | +17.1 | n=7 |
| on the road + as an underdog | 7-1 | 88%from 51% | +8.6 | n=8 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 7-1 | 88%from 88% | +8.6 | n=8 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-1 | 88%from 88% | +8.6 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 88% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-1 | 88%from 88% | +8.6 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 88% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 88% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| on the road + spread 1-3 | 6-1 | 86%from 51% | +9.4 | n=7 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 6-1 | 86%from 86% | +9.4 | n=7 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 6-1 | 86%from 86% | +9.4 | n=7 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 6-1 | 86%from 86% | +9.4 | n=7 |
| on the road + in September | 9-2 | 82%from 51% | +9.1 | n=11 |
| in September + in the last 5 seasons | 12-7 | 63%from 57% | +2.3 | n=19 |
| out of conference + in September | 18-12 | 60%from 54% | +3.0 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-4 | 69%from 60% | +4.9 | n=13 |
| out of conference + vs the Big Ten | 3-2 | 60%from 54% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the Big Ten | 3-2 | 60%from 50% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| vs a P5 opponent + vs the Big Ten | 3-2 | 60%from 50% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +4.0 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.