Tennessee at Georgia Tech—

ST Model Tennessee -5.8

Trends · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Tennessee — the basics

149 graded games since 2014

on the road	26-25	51%	-0.6	n=51
out of conference	30-22	58%	+3.4	n=52
vs an FBS opponent	67-71	49%	-0.3	n=138
vs a P5 opponent	57-62	48%	-0.2	n=119
vs the ACC	6-2	75%	+9.3	n=8
in September	23-21	52%	-0.4	n=44
in the last 5 seasons	34-31	52%	+2.8	n=65

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Tennessee — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.7 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 149 graded games: +0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=149
Tennessee has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Tennessee — combinations

40 lean Tennessee · 16 lean against

Read this first. 66 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 73% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs the ACC + in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 75%	+10.8	n=6
out of conference + vs the ACC	6-2	75%from 58%	+9.3	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 75%	+10.8	n=6
+ in September	4-2	67%from 75%	+7.8	n=6
vs an FBS opponent + vs the ACC	6-2	75%from 49%	+9.3	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 75%	+10.8	n=6
+ in September	4-2	67%from 75%	+7.8	n=6
vs a P5 opponent + vs the ACC	6-2	75%from 48%	+9.3	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 75%	+10.8	n=6
+ in September	4-2	67%from 75%	+7.8	n=6
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons	17-8	68%from 58%	+7.3	n=25
vs the ACC + in September	4-2	67%from 75%	+7.8	n=6
in September + in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 52%	+3.2	n=20
on the road + in September	6-5	55%from 51%	-1.6	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 55%	-3.8	n=5
out of conference + in September	15-14	52%from 58%	+1.6	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-4	69%from 52%	+6.3	n=13
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent	21-20	51%from 58%	+2.0	n=41
+ vs the ACC	6-2	75%from 51%	+9.3	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 75%	+10.8	n=6
+ in September	4-2	67%from 75%	+7.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 51%	+7.3	n=20
+ vs a P5 opponent	11-11	50%from 51%	+4.2	n=22
+ vs the ACC	6-2	75%from 50%	+9.3	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 50%	+7.7	n=11
+ in September	4-7	36%from 50%	-0.6	n=11
+ in September	10-12	45%from 51%	+0.1	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 45%	+7.7	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Georgia Tech — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

at home	31-39	44%	-2.4	n=70
out of conference	22-25	47%	-1.1	n=47
vs an FBS opponent	67-67	50%	+0.4	n=134
vs a P5 opponent	59-59	50%	+0.8	n=118
vs the SEC	10-8	56%	+2.3	n=18
in September	20-24	45%	-1.1	n=44
at this venue	31-39	44%	-2.4	n=70
in the last 5 seasons	31-31	50%	+0.4	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Georgia Tech — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=141

Georgia Tech — combinations

12 lean Georgia Tech · 83 lean against

Read this first. 124 combinations shown. The best one here is 57%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
out of conference + vs the SEC	10-8	56%from 47%	+2.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 56%	+0.3	n=8
+ at this venue	2-5	29%from 56%	-4.5	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + vs the SEC	10-8	56%from 50%	+2.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 56%	+0.3	n=8
+ at this venue	2-5	29%from 56%	-4.5	n=7
vs a P5 opponent + vs the SEC	10-8	56%from 50%	+2.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 56%	+0.3	n=8
+ at this venue	2-5	29%from 56%	-4.5	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	59-59	50%from 50%	+0.8	n=118
+ vs the SEC	10-8	56%from 50%	+2.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 56%	+0.3	n=8
+ at this venue	2-5	29%from 56%	-4.5	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-26	50%from 50%	+1.1	n=52
+ in September	11-12	48%from 50%	+0.8	n=23
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 48%	+1.6	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 48%	+2.2	n=11
+ at this venue	23-28	45%from 50%	-2.2	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-10	44%from 45%	-5.1	n=18
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	29-29	50%from 50%	+0.3	n=58
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	26-26	50%from 50%	+1.1	n=52
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent	20-20	50%from 47%	-0.4	n=40
+ vs the SEC	10-8	56%from 50%	+2.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 56%	+0.3	n=8
+ at this venue	2-5	29%from 56%	-4.5	n=7
+ vs a P5 opponent	12-12	50%from 50%	+1.0	n=24
+ vs the SEC	10-8	56%from 50%	+2.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 50%	+1.7	n=12
+ in September	2-3	40%from 50%	-2.5	n=5
+ at this venue	2-5	29%from 50%	-4.5	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 50%	-1.3	n=18
+ in September	9-11	45%from 50%	-2.9	n=20
+ at this venue	6-7	46%from 45%	-2.3	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 45%	-9.4	n=8
+ at this venue	8-11	42%from 50%	-3.0	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 42%	-8.0	n=8

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.