How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Ohio State — the basics
154 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 28-22 | 56% | +3.0 | n=50 |
| as an underdog | 8-3 | 73% | +14.8 | n=11 |
| spread 1-3 | 7-3 | 70% | +10.7 | n=10 |
| out of conference | 27-23 | 54% | +3.7 | n=50 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 85-67 | 56% | +3.5 | n=152 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 74-59 | 56% | +2.6 | n=133 |
| vs the SEC | 5-2 | 71% | +2.5 | n=7 |
| in September | 23-15 | 61% | +6.7 | n=38 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 39-25 | 61% | +2.3 | n=64 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Ohio State — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +3.8 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 154 graded games: +3.4 pts vs their number per game | n=154 |
| Ohio State has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
Ohio State — combinations
57 lean Ohio State · 4 lean against
Read this first. 76 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in September | 8-2 | 80%from 56% | +11.1 | n=10 |
| on the road + spread 1-3 | 4-1 | 80%from 56% | +12.0 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +12.0 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +12.0 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +12.0 | n=5 |
| vs the SEC + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| as an underdog + vs an FBS opponent | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +14.8 | n=11 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +14.8 | n=11 |
| as an underdog + vs a P5 opponent | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +14.8 | n=11 |
| as an underdog + out of conference | 5-2 | 71%from 73% | +8.9 | n=7 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 5-2 | 71%from 71% | +8.9 | n=7 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 5-2 | 71%from 71% | +8.9 | n=7 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 5-2 | 71%from 71% | +8.9 | n=7 |
| out of conference + vs the SEC | 5-2 | 71%from 54% | +2.5 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the SEC | 5-2 | 71%from 56% | +2.5 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| vs a P5 opponent + vs the SEC | 5-2 | 71%from 56% | +2.5 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| spread 1-3 + vs an FBS opponent | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | +10.7 | n=10 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | +10.7 | n=10 |
| spread 1-3 + vs a P5 opponent | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | +10.7 | n=10 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 34-20 | 63%from 56% | +1.9 | n=54 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 38-24 | 61%from 56% | +2.4 | n=62 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in September | 22-14 | 61%from 56% | +7.1 | n=36 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-6 | 54%from 61% | +3.5 | n=13 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.