Arizona State at Texas A&MTexas A&M -16.5o/u 51.5

ST Model Texas A&M -17.1(+0.6 vs market)

Trends · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Arizona State — the basics

137 graded games since 2014

on the road	31-27	53%	+2.1	n=58
as an underdog	38-33	54%	+0.8	n=71
spread 14.5-21	9-5	64%	+2.0	n=14
out of conference	15-24	38%	-4.3	n=39
vs an FBS opponent	70-60	54%	+0.6	n=130
vs a P5 opponent	65-50	57%	+1.3	n=115
in September	22-21	51%	-2.7	n=43
in the last 5 seasons	33-29	53%	-0.2	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Arizona State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -2.8 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 137 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=137
Arizona State has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Arizona State — combinations

60 lean Arizona State · 40 lean against

Read this first. 108 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 82% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
as an underdog + spread 14.5-21	5-2	71%from 54%	+10.0	n=7
+ in September	4-1	80%from 71%	+9.8	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	5-2	71%from 71%	+10.0	n=7
+ in September	4-1	80%from 71%	+9.8	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	5-2	71%from 71%	+10.0	n=7
+ vs a P5 opponent	5-2	71%from 71%	+10.0	n=7
+ in September	4-1	80%from 71%	+9.8	n=5
spread 14.5-21 + vs a P5 opponent	7-3	70%from 64%	+4.8	n=10
+ in September	4-1	80%from 70%	+9.8	n=5
spread 14.5-21 + in September	6-3	67%from 64%	+3.3	n=9
spread 14.5-21 + vs an FBS opponent	9-5	64%from 64%	+2.0	n=14
+ vs a P5 opponent	7-3	70%from 64%	+4.8	n=10
+ in September	4-1	80%from 70%	+9.8	n=5
+ in September	6-3	67%from 64%	+3.3	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 64%	-12.0	n=5
vs a P5 opponent + in September	15-10	60%from 57%	+0.2	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 60%	-0.3	n=11
on the road + in September	9-6	60%from 53%	+1.2	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 60%	-1.6	n=7
on the road + spread 14.5-21	3-2	60%from 53%	+3.9	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.9	n=5
spread 14.5-21 + out of conference	3-2	60%from 64%	-0.1	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.1	n=5
+ in September	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.1	n=5
+ in September	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.1	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Texas A&M — the basics

145 graded games since 2014

at home	35-43	45%	-1.1	n=78
as a favorite	50-58	46%	-1.1	n=108
spread 14.5-21	8-13	38%	-1.3	n=21
out of conference	25-27	48%	-0.6	n=52
vs an FBS opponent	61-74	45%	-1.1	n=135
vs a P5 opponent	51-62	45%	-1.0	n=113
in September	26-19	58%	+0.4	n=45
at this venue	35-43	45%	-1.1	n=78
in the last 5 seasons	24-37	39%	-1.4	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Texas A&M — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 145 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=145
Texas A&M has failed to cover 4 straight	n=4

Texas A&M — combinations

41 lean Texas A&M · 115 lean against

Read this first. 199 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
out of conference + in September	17-10	63%from 48%	+1.4	n=27
+ at this venue	12-8	60%from 63%	+0.6	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 60%	-4.3	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-7	46%from 63%	-5.1	n=13
spread 14.5-21 + out of conference	3-2	60%from 38%	-1.3	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.3	n=5
vs a P5 opponent + in September	16-11	59%from 45%	-0.0	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 59%	-1.4	n=11
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 59%	-1.8	n=8
vs an FBS opponent + in September	23-17	57%from 45%	-0.2	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 57%	-2.8	n=19
+ at this venue	10-10	50%from 57%	-2.2	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 50%	-2.6	n=11
at home + in September	13-12	52%from 45%	-0.8	n=25
+ at this venue	13-12	52%from 52%	-0.8	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 52%	-2.9	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 52%	-2.9	n=12
in September + at this venue	13-12	52%from 58%	-0.8	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 52%	-2.9	n=12
as a favorite + in September	19-19	50%from 46%	-1.0	n=38
+ at this venue	12-12	50%from 50%	-1.3	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 50%	-2.9	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 50%	-3.5	n=19
out of conference + vs a P5 opponent	10-10	50%from 48%	0.0	n=20
+ in September	7-2	78%from 50%	+2.2	n=9
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 50%	-3.3	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-7	22%from 50%	-8.0	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.