How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
New Mexico — the basics
135 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 26-37 | 41% | -0.8 | n=63 |
| out of conference | 20-25 | 44% | +1.2 | n=45 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 50-76 | 40% | -1.6 | n=126 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 8-13 | 38% | -1.2 | n=21 |
| vs the SEC | 0-5 | 0% | -7.8 | n=5 |
| in September | 17-21 | 45% | +1.1 | n=38 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 24-36 | 40% | -0.4 | n=60 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
New Mexico — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +4.0 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 135 graded games: -0.9 pts vs their number per game | n=135 |
New Mexico — combinations
2 lean New Mexico · 59 lean against
Read this first. 71 combinations shown. The best one here is 56%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 59% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in September | 10-8 | 56%from 41% | +1.3 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 56% | +3.3 | n=10 |
| out of conference + in the last 5 seasons | 11-11 | 50%from 44% | +3.8 | n=22 |
| on the road + out of conference | 9-10 | 47%from 41% | +0.8 | n=19 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 9-10 | 47%from 47% | +0.8 | n=19 |
| + in September | 7-8 | 47%from 47% | +0.6 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-6 | 45%from 47% | +2.4 | n=11 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 6-8 | 43%from 47% | -0.4 | n=14 |
| + vs the SEC | 0-5 | 0%from 47% | -7.8 | n=5 |
| + in September | 7-8 | 47%from 47% | +0.6 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-5 | 44%from 47% | +3.1 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-6 | 45%from 47% | +2.4 | n=11 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 6-8 | 43%from 47% | -0.4 | n=14 |
| + in September | 5-6 | 45%from 43% | +1.7 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-5 | 44%from 43% | +3.9 | n=9 |
| + vs the SEC | 0-5 | 0%from 43% | -7.8 | n=5 |
| + vs the SEC | 0-5 | 0%from 47% | -7.8 | n=5 |
| in September + in the last 5 seasons | 9-10 | 47%from 45% | +3.6 | n=19 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in September | 13-17 | 43%from 40% | -0.8 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-8 | 47%from 43% | +1.7 | n=15 |
| on the road + vs a P5 opponent | 6-8 | 43%from 41% | -0.4 | n=14 |
| + in September | 5-6 | 45%from 43% | +1.7 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 45% | +5.2 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-5 | 44%from 43% | +3.9 | n=9 |
| + vs the SEC | 0-5 | 0%from 43% | -7.8 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.