How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
UTSA — the basics
149 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 35-36 | 49% | -1.7 | n=71 |
| out of conference | 26-28 | 48% | -0.3 | n=54 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 70-71 | 50% | +0.2 | n=141 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 10-13 | 43% | -1.2 | n=23 |
| vs the SEC | 3-2 | 60% | +1.5 | n=5 |
| in September | 17-27 | 39% | -3.5 | n=44 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 37-30 | 55% | +1.7 | n=67 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
UTSA — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +4.3 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 149 graded games: +0.2 pts vs their number per game | n=149 |
UTSA — combinations
17 lean UTSA · 45 lean against
Read this first. 71 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 65% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs the SEC | 3-2 | 60%from 49% | +1.5 | n=5 |
| out of conference + vs the SEC | 3-2 | 60%from 48% | +1.5 | n=5 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the SEC | 3-2 | 60%from 50% | +1.5 | n=5 |
| vs a P5 opponent + vs the SEC | 3-2 | 60%from 43% | +1.5 | n=5 |
| on the road + out of conference | 13-11 | 54%from 49% | +0.1 | n=24 |
| + vs the SEC | 3-2 | 60%from 54% | +1.5 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 13-11 | 54%from 54% | +0.1 | n=24 |
| + vs the SEC | 3-2 | 60%from 54% | +1.5 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-9 | 47%from 54% | -1.4 | n=17 |
| + in September | 8-11 | 42%from 54% | -4.5 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-6 | 40%from 54% | -4.7 | n=10 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-9 | 47%from 54% | -1.4 | n=17 |
| + vs the SEC | 3-2 | 60%from 47% | +1.5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 47% | -1.8 | n=7 |
| + in September | 4-9 | 31%from 47% | -6.0 | n=13 |
| + in September | 8-11 | 42%from 54% | -4.5 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-6 | 33%from 42% | -5.9 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-6 | 40%from 54% | -4.7 | n=10 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 34-29 | 54%from 50% | +1.6 | n=63 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 15-15 | 50%from 49% | -2.7 | n=30 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 35-36 | 49%from 49% | -1.7 | n=71 |
| + vs the SEC | 3-2 | 60%from 49% | +1.5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-15 | 50%from 49% | -2.7 | n=30 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-9 | 47%from 49% | -1.4 | n=17 |
| + vs the SEC | 3-2 | 60%from 47% | +1.5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 47% | -1.8 | n=7 |
| + in September | 4-9 | 31%from 47% | -6.0 | n=13 |
| + in September | 9-15 | 38%from 49% | -5.3 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-7 | 36%from 38% | -4.5 | n=11 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.