Vanderbilt at Auburn—

ST Model Vanderbilt -2.7

Trends · 2026 week 4

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Vanderbilt — the basics

142 graded games since 2014

on the road	36-25	59%	+3.7	n=61
in a conference game	50-45	53%	+0.6	n=95
vs an FBS opponent	67-64	51%	+0.6	n=131
vs a P5 opponent	55-54	50%	+0.3	n=109
vs the SEC	50-45	53%	+0.6	n=95
in September	20-25	44%	-0.6	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	32-30	52%	+2.3	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Vanderbilt — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +9.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 142 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=142

Vanderbilt — combinations

64 lean Vanderbilt · 25 lean against

Read this first. 96 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	17-10	63%from 59%	+6.8	n=27
on the road + in September	11-7	61%from 59%	+5.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 61%	+5.7	n=9
on the road + in a conference game	28-19	60%from 59%	+3.6	n=47
+ in September	5-2	71%from 60%	+10.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 60%	+5.9	n=20
+ vs an FBS opponent	28-19	60%from 60%	+3.6	n=47
+ in September	5-2	71%from 60%	+10.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 60%	+5.9	n=20
+ vs a P5 opponent	28-19	60%from 60%	+3.6	n=47
+ vs the SEC	28-19	60%from 60%	+3.6	n=47
+ vs a P5 opponent	28-19	60%from 60%	+3.6	n=47
+ in September	5-2	71%from 60%	+10.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 60%	+5.9	n=20
+ vs the SEC	28-19	60%from 60%	+3.6	n=47
+ vs the SEC	28-19	60%from 60%	+3.6	n=47
+ in September	5-2	71%from 60%	+10.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 60%	+5.9	n=20
on the road + vs the SEC	28-19	60%from 59%	+3.6	n=47
+ in September	5-2	71%from 60%	+10.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 60%	+5.9	n=20
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	36-25	59%from 59%	+3.7	n=61
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-10	63%from 59%	+6.8	n=27
+ in September	11-7	61%from 59%	+5.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 61%	+5.7	n=9
+ vs the SEC	28-19	60%from 59%	+3.6	n=47
+ in September	5-2	71%from 60%	+10.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 60%	+5.9	n=20
+ vs a P5 opponent	30-22	58%from 59%	+3.2	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-8	64%from 58%	+6.2	n=22
+ vs the SEC	28-19	60%from 58%	+3.6	n=47
+ in September	7-5	58%from 58%	+5.5	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Auburn — the basics

149 graded games since 2014

at home	39-45	46%	-0.6	n=84
in a conference game	46-50	48%	+0.8	n=96
vs an FBS opponent	63-75	46%	-0.1	n=138
vs a P5 opponent	53-62	46%	+0.4	n=115
vs the SEC	46-50	48%	+0.8	n=96
in September	19-28	40%	-2.1	n=47
at this venue	39-45	46%	-0.6	n=84
in the last 5 seasons	27-33	45%	-0.9	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Auburn — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 149 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=149

Auburn — combinations

0 lean Auburn · 118 lean against

Read this first. 158 combinations shown. The best one here is 50%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 58% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in a conference game + in September	9-9	50%from 48%	+1.4	n=18
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 50%	+1.6	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 50%	-3.6	n=7
vs the SEC + in September	9-9	50%from 48%	+1.4	n=18
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 50%	+1.6	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 50%	-3.6	n=7
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	46-50	48%from 48%	+0.8	n=96
+ in September	9-9	50%from 48%	+1.4	n=18
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 50%	+1.6	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 50%	-3.6	n=7
+ vs a P5 opponent	46-50	48%from 48%	+0.8	n=96
+ in September	9-9	50%from 48%	+1.4	n=18
+ vs the SEC	46-50	48%from 48%	+0.8	n=96
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-20	47%from 48%	+0.2	n=38
+ at this venue	22-26	46%from 48%	+0.8	n=48
+ vs the SEC	46-50	48%from 48%	+0.8	n=96
+ in September	9-9	50%from 48%	+1.4	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-20	47%from 48%	+0.2	n=38
+ at this venue	22-26	46%from 48%	+0.8	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-20	47%from 48%	+0.2	n=38
+ at this venue	22-26	46%from 48%	+0.8	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-11	42%from 46%	-2.3	n=19
in a conference game + vs a P5 opponent	46-50	48%from 48%	+0.8	n=96
+ in September	9-9	50%from 48%	+1.4	n=18
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 50%	+1.6	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 50%	-3.6	n=7
+ vs the SEC	46-50	48%from 48%	+0.8	n=96
+ in September	9-9	50%from 48%	+1.4	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-20	47%from 48%	+0.2	n=38
+ at this venue	22-26	46%from 48%	+0.8	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-20	47%from 48%	+0.2	n=38
+ at this venue	22-26	46%from 48%	+0.8	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-11	42%from 46%	-2.3	n=19

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.