How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Oklahoma — the basics
150 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 25-24 | 51% | +2.4 | n=49 |
| as an underdog | 12-10 | 55% | +0.5 | n=22 |
| spread 7.5-10.5 | 9-8 | 53% | +3.4 | n=17 |
| in a conference game | 51-53 | 49% | -1.0 | n=104 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 73-73 | 50% | -0.4 | n=146 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 62-63 | 50% | -0.9 | n=125 |
| vs the SEC | 13-11 | 54% | +0.5 | n=24 |
| in September | 24-18 | 57% | +0.8 | n=42 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 31-32 | 49% | -1.4 | n=63 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Oklahoma — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 150 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game | n=150 |
| Oklahoma has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
Oklahoma — combinations
54 lean Oklahoma · 32 lean against
Read this first. 137 combinations shown. The best one here is 88%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + as an underdog | 7-1 | 88%from 51% | +8.6 | n=8 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 7-1 | 88%from 88% | +8.6 | n=8 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-1 | 88%from 88% | +8.6 | n=8 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-1 | 80%from 88% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 88% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-1 | 88%from 88% | +8.6 | n=8 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-1 | 80%from 88% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 88% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| + in a conference game | 6-1 | 86%from 88% | +6.6 | n=7 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 6-1 | 86%from 86% | +6.6 | n=7 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 6-1 | 86%from 86% | +6.6 | n=7 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-1 | 80%from 86% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 86% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-1 | 80%from 88% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 88% | +3.8 | n=5 |
| on the road + in September | 9-2 | 82%from 51% | +9.1 | n=11 |
| vs the SEC + in September | 4-1 | 80%from 54% | +2.4 | n=5 |
| on the road + vs the SEC | 6-2 | 75%from 51% | +3.4 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 75% | +3.4 | n=7 |
| in September + in the last 5 seasons | 12-7 | 63%from 57% | +2.3 | n=19 |
| as an underdog + in a conference game | 8-6 | 57%from 55% | -0.7 | n=14 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 8-6 | 57%from 57% | -0.7 | n=14 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-6 | 57%from 57% | -0.7 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-6 | 50%from 57% | -3.1 | n=12 |
| + vs the SEC | 5-5 | 50%from 57% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-6 | 57%from 57% | -0.7 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-6 | 50%from 57% | -3.1 | n=12 |
| + vs the SEC | 5-5 | 50%from 57% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-6 | 50%from 57% | -3.1 | n=12 |
| + vs the SEC | 5-5 | 50%from 57% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | -0.3 | n=10 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.