How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Vanderbilt — the basics
142 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 36-25 | 59% | +3.7 | n=61 |
| vs Georgia | 3-5 | 38% | -2.9 | n=8 |
| in a conference game | 50-45 | 53% | +0.6 | n=95 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 67-64 | 51% | +0.6 | n=131 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 55-54 | 50% | +0.3 | n=109 |
| vs the SEC | 50-45 | 53% | +0.6 | n=95 |
| in October | 18-23 | 44% | -1.3 | n=41 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 32-30 | 52% | +2.3 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Vanderbilt — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +9.4 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 142 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game | n=142 |
Vanderbilt — combinations
59 lean Vanderbilt · 33 lean against
Read this first. 124 combinations shown. The best one here is 65%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 65% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 17-10 | 63%from 59% | +6.8 | n=27 |
| on the road + in a conference game | 28-19 | 60%from 59% | +3.6 | n=47 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 60% | +5.9 | n=20 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 28-19 | 60%from 60% | +3.6 | n=47 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 60% | +5.9 | n=20 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 28-19 | 60%from 60% | +3.6 | n=47 |
| + vs the SEC | 28-19 | 60%from 60% | +3.6 | n=47 |
| + in October | 8-10 | 44%from 60% | +1.5 | n=18 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 28-19 | 60%from 60% | +3.6 | n=47 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 60% | +5.9 | n=20 |
| + vs the SEC | 28-19 | 60%from 60% | +3.6 | n=47 |
| + in October | 8-10 | 44%from 60% | +1.5 | n=18 |
| + vs the SEC | 28-19 | 60%from 60% | +3.6 | n=47 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 60% | +5.9 | n=20 |
| + in October | 8-10 | 44%from 60% | +1.5 | n=18 |
| + in October | 8-10 | 44%from 60% | +1.5 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 44% | +2.3 | n=8 |
| on the road + vs the SEC | 28-19 | 60%from 59% | +3.6 | n=47 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 60% | +5.9 | n=20 |
| + in October | 8-10 | 44%from 60% | +1.5 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 44% | +2.3 | n=8 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 36-25 | 59%from 59% | +3.7 | n=61 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 17-10 | 63%from 59% | +6.8 | n=27 |
| + vs the SEC | 28-19 | 60%from 59% | +3.6 | n=47 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 60% | +5.9 | n=20 |
| + in October | 8-10 | 44%from 60% | +1.5 | n=18 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 30-22 | 58%from 59% | +3.2 | n=52 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-8 | 64%from 58% | +6.2 | n=22 |
| + vs the SEC | 28-19 | 60%from 58% | +3.6 | n=47 |
| + in October | 8-10 | 44%from 58% | +1.5 | n=18 |
| + in October | 9-11 | 45%from 59% | +0.7 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 45% | +2.3 | n=8 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.