Ole Miss at Vanderbilt—

ST Model Ole Miss -1.2

Trends · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Ole Miss — the basics

140 graded games since 2014

on the road	25-27	48%	-1.6	n=52
vs Vanderbilt	6-4	60%	+1.2	n=10
in a conference game	42-50	46%	-1.6	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	65-66	50%	-0.1	n=131
vs a P5 opponent	54-58	48%	-1.0	n=112
vs the SEC	43-50	46%	-1.4	n=93
in October	21-25	46%	-1.4	n=46
in the last 5 seasons	35-28	56%	+2.4	n=63

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Ole Miss — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +3.6 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 140 graded games: +0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=140

Ole Miss — combinations

41 lean Ole Miss · 79 lean against

Read this first. 135 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 11.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Vanderbilt + in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5
vs Vanderbilt + in a conference game	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ vs the SEC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5
+ vs the SEC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ vs the SEC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5
vs Vanderbilt + vs an FBS opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5
+ vs the SEC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ vs the SEC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5
vs Vanderbilt + vs a P5 opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5
+ vs the SEC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5
vs Vanderbilt + vs the SEC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=10
+ in October	5-0	100%from 60%	+12.3	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Vanderbilt — the basics

142 graded games since 2014

at home	34-43	44%	-2.3	n=77
vs Ole Miss	4-6	40%	-1.2	n=10
in a conference game	50-45	53%	+0.6	n=95
vs an FBS opponent	67-64	51%	+0.6	n=131
vs a P5 opponent	55-54	50%	+0.3	n=109
vs the SEC	50-45	53%	+0.6	n=95
in October	18-23	44%	-1.3	n=41
at this venue	34-42	45%	-2.0	n=76
in the last 5 seasons	32-30	52%	+2.3	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Vanderbilt — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +9.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 142 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=142

Vanderbilt — combinations

66 lean Vanderbilt · 95 lean against

Read this first. 199 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 63% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	23-17	57%from 53%	+2.8	n=40
vs the SEC + in the last 5 seasons	23-17	57%from 53%	+2.8	n=40
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	26-22	54%from 50%	+2.7	n=48
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	50-45	53%from 53%	+0.6	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-17	57%from 53%	+2.8	n=40
+ vs a P5 opponent	50-45	53%from 53%	+0.6	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-17	57%from 53%	+2.8	n=40
+ vs the SEC	50-45	53%from 53%	+0.6	n=95
+ in October	17-17	50%from 53%	+1.5	n=34
+ at this venue	22-25	47%from 53%	-1.9	n=47
+ vs the SEC	50-45	53%from 53%	+0.6	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-17	57%from 53%	+2.8	n=40
+ in October	17-17	50%from 53%	+1.5	n=34
+ at this venue	22-25	47%from 53%	-1.9	n=47
+ in October	17-17	50%from 53%	+1.5	n=34
+ at this venue	9-7	56%from 50%	+1.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 50%	+4.2	n=16
+ at this venue	22-25	47%from 53%	-1.9	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-10	50%from 47%	-0.3	n=20
in a conference game + vs a P5 opponent	50-45	53%from 53%	+0.6	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-17	57%from 53%	+2.8	n=40
+ vs the SEC	50-45	53%from 53%	+0.6	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-17	57%from 53%	+2.8	n=40
+ in October	17-17	50%from 53%	+1.5	n=34
+ at this venue	22-25	47%from 53%	-1.9	n=47
+ in October	17-17	50%from 53%	+1.5	n=34
+ at this venue	9-7	56%from 50%	+1.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 50%	+4.2	n=16
+ at this venue	22-25	47%from 53%	-1.9	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-10	50%from 47%	-0.3	n=20

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.