How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Vanderbilt — the basics
142 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 36-25 | 59% | +3.7 | n=61 |
| vs Kentucky | 8-4 | 67% | +3.3 | n=12 |
| in a conference game | 50-45 | 53% | +0.6 | n=95 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 67-64 | 51% | +0.6 | n=131 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 55-54 | 50% | +0.3 | n=109 |
| vs the SEC | 50-45 | 53% | +0.6 | n=95 |
| in October | 18-23 | 44% | -1.3 | n=41 |
| at this venue | 5-1 | 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 32-30 | 52% | +2.3 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Vanderbilt — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +9.4 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 142 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game | n=142 |
Vanderbilt — combinations
136 lean Vanderbilt · 19 lean against
Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs Kentucky | 5-1 | 83%from 59% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + in a conference game | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + vs the SEC | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + vs the SEC | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + vs the SEC | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + vs the SEC | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| on the road + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 59% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| vs Kentucky + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 67% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| in a conference game + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 53% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| vs an FBS opponent + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 51% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| vs a P5 opponent + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 50% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| vs the SEC + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 53% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| vs Kentucky + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +12.3 | n=5 |
| vs Kentucky + in a conference game | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +3.3 | n=12 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 67% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +12.3 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +3.3 | n=12 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 67% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +12.3 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +3.3 | n=12 |
| + vs the SEC | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +3.3 | n=12 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +3.3 | n=12 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 67% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +12.3 | n=5 |
| + vs the SEC | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +3.3 | n=12 |
| + vs the SEC | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +3.3 | n=12 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 67% | +9.5 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +12.3 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.