Tennessee at South Carolina—

ST Model Tennessee -6.2

Trends · 2026 week 8

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Tennessee — the basics

149 graded games since 2014

on the road	26-25	51%	-0.6	n=51
vs South Carolina	5-4	56%	-2.3	n=9
in a conference game	46-51	47%	-1.2	n=97
vs an FBS opponent	67-71	49%	-0.3	n=138
vs a P5 opponent	57-62	48%	-0.2	n=119
vs the SEC	46-51	47%	-1.2	n=97
in October	24-19	56%	+2.3	n=43
in the last 5 seasons	34-31	52%	+2.8	n=65

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Tennessee — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.7 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 149 graded games: +0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=149
Tennessee has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Tennessee — combinations

75 lean Tennessee · 35 lean against

Read this first. 124 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs South Carolina + in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5
in October + in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 56%	+5.8	n=17
vs South Carolina + in a conference game	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ vs the SEC	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ vs a P5 opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5
+ vs the SEC	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ vs the SEC	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5
vs South Carolina + vs an FBS opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5
+ vs the SEC	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ vs the SEC	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5
vs South Carolina + vs a P5 opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5
+ vs the SEC	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5
vs South Carolina + vs the SEC	5-4	56%from 56%	-2.3	n=9
+ in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+4.0	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

South Carolina — the basics

144 graded games since 2014

at home	36-42	46%	+0.0	n=78
vs Tennessee	4-5	44%	+2.3	n=9
in a conference game	49-46	52%	+0.8	n=95
vs an FBS opponent	65-68	49%	-0.2	n=133
vs a P5 opponent	56-60	48%	-0.4	n=116
vs the SEC	49-46	52%	+0.8	n=95
in October	19-20	49%	-1.1	n=39
at this venue	36-42	46%	+0.0	n=78
in the last 5 seasons	35-28	56%	+2.9	n=63

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

South Carolina — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 144 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=144

South Carolina — combinations

75 lean South Carolina · 92 lean against

Read this first. 188 combinations shown. The best one here is 56%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 65% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	32-26	55%from 49%	+3.0	n=58
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	22-18	55%from 52%	+3.6	n=40
vs the SEC + in the last 5 seasons	22-18	55%from 52%	+3.6	n=40
at home + in the last 5 seasons	19-16	54%from 46%	+2.5	n=35
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	19-16	54%from 46%	+2.5	n=35
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	26-24	52%from 48%	+2.7	n=50
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	49-46	52%from 52%	+0.8	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-18	55%from 52%	+3.6	n=40
+ vs a P5 opponent	49-46	52%from 52%	+0.8	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-18	55%from 52%	+3.6	n=40
+ vs the SEC	49-46	52%from 52%	+0.8	n=95
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 52%	+1.1	n=45
+ in October	18-18	50%from 52%	-0.6	n=36
+ vs the SEC	49-46	52%from 52%	+0.8	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-18	55%from 52%	+3.6	n=40
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 52%	+1.1	n=45
+ in October	18-18	50%from 52%	-0.6	n=36
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 52%	+1.1	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 51%	+3.9	n=20
+ in October	18-18	50%from 52%	-0.6	n=36
+ at this venue	8-9	47%from 50%	-0.3	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-9	40%from 50%	-2.0	n=15
in a conference game + vs a P5 opponent	49-46	52%from 52%	+0.8	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-18	55%from 52%	+3.6	n=40
+ vs the SEC	49-46	52%from 52%	+0.8	n=95
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-18	55%from 52%	+3.6	n=40
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 52%	+1.1	n=45
+ in October	18-18	50%from 52%	-0.6	n=36
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 52%	+1.1	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 51%	+3.9	n=20
+ in October	18-18	50%from 52%	-0.6	n=36
+ at this venue	8-9	47%from 50%	-0.3	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-9	40%from 50%	-2.0	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.