How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Ole Miss — the basics
140 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 25-27 | 48% | -1.6 | n=52 |
| in a conference game | 42-50 | 46% | -1.6 | n=92 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 65-66 | 50% | -0.1 | n=131 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 54-58 | 48% | -1.0 | n=112 |
| vs the SEC | 43-50 | 46% | -1.4 | n=93 |
| in October | 21-25 | 46% | -1.4 | n=46 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 35-28 | 56% | +2.4 | n=63 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Ole Miss — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +3.6 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 140 graded games: +0.2 pts vs their number per game | n=140 |
Ole Miss — combinations
5 lean Ole Miss · 79 lean against
Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 56%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 32-27 | 54%from 50% | +1.2 | n=59 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 11-10 | 52%from 48% | +0.7 | n=21 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 25-24 | 51%from 48% | -0.2 | n=49 |
| on the road + vs a P5 opponent | 24-25 | 49%from 48% | -1.3 | n=49 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-10 | 50%from 49% | +0.6 | n=20 |
| + vs the SEC | 22-24 | 48%from 49% | -1.8 | n=46 |
| + in October | 11-12 | 48%from 48% | -3.2 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-10 | 44%from 48% | -1.5 | n=18 |
| + in October | 11-12 | 48%from 49% | -3.2 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 48% | -0.8 | n=10 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent | 54-58 | 48%from 50% | -1.0 | n=112 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 25-24 | 51%from 48% | -0.2 | n=49 |
| + vs the SEC | 43-50 | 46%from 48% | -1.4 | n=93 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 18-20 | 47%from 46% | -1.0 | n=38 |
| + in October | 19-23 | 45%from 46% | -1.0 | n=42 |
| + in October | 19-24 | 44%from 48% | -1.7 | n=43 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-11 | 39%from 44% | -3.0 | n=18 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 25-27 | 48%from 48% | -1.6 | n=52 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-10 | 52%from 48% | +0.7 | n=21 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 24-25 | 49%from 48% | -1.3 | n=49 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-10 | 50%from 49% | +0.6 | n=20 |
| + vs the SEC | 22-24 | 48%from 49% | -1.8 | n=46 |
| + in October | 11-12 | 48%from 49% | -3.2 | n=23 |
| + vs the SEC | 22-24 | 48%from 48% | -1.8 | n=46 |
| + in October | 11-12 | 48%from 48% | -3.2 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-10 | 44%from 48% | -1.5 | n=18 |
| + in October | 11-13 | 46%from 48% | -4.0 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 46% | -0.8 | n=10 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.