Georgia at Ole Miss—

ST Model Georgia -2.3

Trends · 2026 week 10

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Georgia — the basics

159 graded games since 2014

on the road	29-19	60%	+2.1	n=48
vs Ole Miss	2-3	40%	-6.3	n=5
in a conference game	55-48	53%	+0.9	n=103
vs an FBS opponent	80-68	54%	+1.8	n=148
vs a P5 opponent	74-61	55%	+1.8	n=135
vs the SEC	57-49	54%	+1.1	n=106
in November	27-24	53%	-0.2	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	33-38	46%	+1.0	n=71

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Georgia — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +1.5 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 159 graded games: +0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=159

Georgia — combinations

86 lean Georgia · 11 lean against

Read this first. 106 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + in November	14-4	78%from 60%	+3.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 78%	+0.4	n=8
in a conference game + in November	21-12	64%from 53%	+1.6	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 64%	+3.7	n=14
vs the SEC + in November	21-12	64%from 54%	+1.6	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 64%	+3.7	n=14
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	29-19	60%from 60%	+2.1	n=48
+ in November	14-4	78%from 60%	+3.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 78%	+0.4	n=8
+ vs a P5 opponent	29-19	60%from 60%	+2.1	n=48
+ in November	14-4	78%from 60%	+3.3	n=18
+ vs the SEC	24-18	57%from 60%	+1.6	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 60%	-0.1	n=19
+ vs the SEC	24-18	57%from 60%	+1.6	n=42
+ in November	10-3	77%from 57%	+2.2	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 57%	+0.4	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 60%	-0.1	n=19
on the road + vs a P5 opponent	29-19	60%from 60%	+2.1	n=48
+ in November	14-4	78%from 60%	+3.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 78%	+0.4	n=8
+ vs the SEC	24-18	57%from 60%	+1.6	n=42
+ in November	10-3	77%from 57%	+2.2	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 57%	+0.4	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 60%	-0.1	n=19
on the road + in a conference game	24-18	57%from 60%	+1.6	n=42
+ in November	10-3	77%from 57%	+2.2	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 77%	+1.8	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	24-18	57%from 57%	+1.6	n=42
+ in November	10-3	77%from 57%	+2.2	n=13
+ vs a P5 opponent	24-18	57%from 57%	+1.6	n=42
+ vs the SEC	24-18	57%from 57%	+1.6	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 57%	+0.4	n=17
+ vs a P5 opponent	24-18	57%from 57%	+1.6	n=42
+ in November	10-3	77%from 57%	+2.2	n=13
+ vs the SEC	24-18	57%from 57%	+1.6	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 57%	+0.4	n=17
+ vs the SEC	24-18	57%from 57%	+1.6	n=42
+ in November	10-3	77%from 57%	+2.2	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 57%	+0.4	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 57%	+0.4	n=17

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Ole Miss — the basics

140 graded games since 2014

at home	37-39	49%	+1.0	n=76
vs Georgia	3-2	60%	+6.3	n=5
in a conference game	42-50	46%	-1.6	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	65-66	50%	-0.1	n=131
vs a P5 opponent	54-58	48%	-1.0	n=112
vs the SEC	43-50	46%	-1.4	n=93
in November	17-23	43%	-2.5	n=40
at this venue	37-39	49%	+1.0	n=76
in the last 5 seasons	35-28	56%	+2.4	n=63

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Ole Miss — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +3.6 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 140 graded games: +0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=140

Ole Miss — combinations

20 lean Ole Miss · 122 lean against

Read this first. 170 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Georgia + vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.3	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.3	n=5
+ vs the SEC	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.3	n=5
+ vs the SEC	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.3	n=5
vs Georgia + vs a P5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.3	n=5
+ vs the SEC	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.3	n=5
vs Georgia + vs the SEC	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.3	n=5
at home + in the last 5 seasons	20-15	57%from 49%	+3.3	n=35
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	20-15	57%from 49%	+3.3	n=35
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	32-27	54%from 50%	+1.2	n=59
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	25-24	51%from 48%	-0.2	n=49
at home + vs an FBS opponent	33-34	49%from 49%	+0.6	n=67
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-14	55%from 49%	+1.2	n=31
+ at this venue	33-34	49%from 49%	+0.6	n=67
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-14	55%from 49%	+1.2	n=31
+ vs a P5 opponent	23-28	45%from 49%	-1.6	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 45%	-1.7	n=22
+ at this venue	23-28	45%from 45%	-1.6	n=51
+ vs the SEC	20-26	43%from 45%	-1.3	n=46
+ in November	8-11	42%from 45%	-3.2	n=19
+ vs the SEC	20-26	43%from 49%	-1.3	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 43%	-1.1	n=19
+ at this venue	20-26	43%from 43%	-1.3	n=46
+ in November	6-11	35%from 43%	-4.4	n=17
+ in November	9-13	41%from 49%	-3.1	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 41%	-0.1	n=10
+ at this venue	9-13	41%from 41%	-3.1	n=22

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.