How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Florida — the basics
149 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 22-28 | 44% | -2.6 | n=50 |
| vs Florida State | 6-5 | 55% | 0.0 | n=11 |
| out of conference | 23-27 | 46% | -2.1 | n=50 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 64-75 | 46% | -1.1 | n=139 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 58-66 | 47% | -1.0 | n=124 |
| vs the ACC | 6-9 | 40% | -2.8 | n=15 |
| in November | 23-25 | 48% | -1.1 | n=48 |
| at this venue | 4-1 | 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 28-35 | 44% | -2.8 | n=63 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Florida — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -5.2 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 149 graded games: -0.9 pts vs their number per game | n=149 |
Florida — combinations
86 lean Florida · 67 lean against
Read this first. 168 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 70% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs Florida State | 4-1 | 80%from 44% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + out of conference | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + vs the ACC | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + vs the ACC | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + vs the ACC | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + vs the ACC | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| on the road + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 44% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| vs Florida State + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 55% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| out of conference + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 46% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| vs an FBS opponent + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 46% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| vs a P5 opponent + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 47% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| vs the ACC + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 40% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| on the road + vs the ACC | 4-2 | 67%from 44% | +1.1 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| vs Florida State + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 55% | +4.5 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.