Tennessee at Vanderbilt—

ST Model Vanderbilt -0.9

Trends · 2026 week 13

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Tennessee — the basics

149 graded games since 2014

on the road	26-25	51%	-0.6	n=51
vs Vanderbilt	4-8	33%	-4.0	n=12
in a conference game	46-51	47%	-1.2	n=97
vs an FBS opponent	67-71	49%	-0.3	n=138
vs a P5 opponent	57-62	48%	-0.2	n=119
vs the SEC	46-51	47%	-1.2	n=97
in November	20-27	43%	-2.2	n=47
at this venue	3-3	50%	+0.8	n=6
in the last 5 seasons	34-31	52%	+2.8	n=65

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Tennessee — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.7 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 149 graded games: +0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=149
Tennessee has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Tennessee — combinations

14 lean Tennessee · 139 lean against

Read this first. 220 combinations shown. The best one here is 52%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + in a conference game	25-23	52%from 51%	-0.2	n=48
+ vs an FBS opponent	25-23	52%from 52%	-0.2	n=48
+ vs a P5 opponent	25-23	52%from 52%	-0.2	n=48
+ vs the SEC	25-23	52%from 52%	-0.2	n=48
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 52%	+0.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 52%	+0.2	n=20
+ in November	8-10	44%from 52%	-4.7	n=18
+ vs a P5 opponent	25-23	52%from 52%	-0.2	n=48
+ vs the SEC	25-23	52%from 52%	-0.2	n=48
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 52%	+0.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 52%	+0.2	n=20
+ in November	8-10	44%from 52%	-4.7	n=18
+ vs the SEC	25-23	52%from 52%	-0.2	n=48
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 52%	+0.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 52%	+0.2	n=20
+ in November	8-10	44%from 52%	-4.7	n=18
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 52%	+0.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 52%	+0.2	n=20
+ in November	8-10	44%from 52%	-4.7	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 44%	-2.9	n=8
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 44%	-1.2	n=5
on the road + vs the SEC	25-23	52%from 51%	-0.2	n=48
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 52%	+0.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 52%	+0.2	n=20
+ in November	8-10	44%from 52%	-4.7	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 44%	-2.9	n=8
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 44%	-1.2	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Vanderbilt — the basics

142 graded games since 2014

at home	34-43	44%	-2.3	n=77
vs Tennessee	8-4	67%	+4.0	n=12
in a conference game	50-45	53%	+0.6	n=95
vs an FBS opponent	67-64	51%	+0.6	n=131
vs a P5 opponent	55-54	50%	+0.3	n=109
vs the SEC	50-45	53%	+0.6	n=95
in November	29-17	63%	+1.8	n=46
at this venue	34-42	45%	-2.0	n=76
in the last 5 seasons	32-30	52%	+2.3	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Vanderbilt — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +9.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 142 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=142

Vanderbilt — combinations

129 lean Vanderbilt · 61 lean against

Read this first. 242 combinations shown. The best one here is 73%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Tennessee + in November	8-3	73%from 67%	+5.3	n=11
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 73%	+1.2	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 73%	-2.1	n=5
in November + in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 63%	+2.8	n=18
vs Tennessee + in a conference game	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.0	n=12
+ in November	8-3	73%from 67%	+5.3	n=11
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 73%	+1.2	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 73%	-2.1	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.0	n=12
+ in November	8-3	73%from 67%	+5.3	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.0	n=12
+ vs the SEC	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.0	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-2.1	n=5
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 67%	-0.8	n=6
+ vs a P5 opponent	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.0	n=12
+ in November	8-3	73%from 67%	+5.3	n=11
+ vs the SEC	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.0	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-2.1	n=5
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 67%	-0.8	n=6
+ vs the SEC	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.0	n=12
+ in November	8-3	73%from 67%	+5.3	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-2.1	n=5
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 67%	-0.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-2.1	n=5
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 67%	-0.8	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.