Oklahoma State at TulsaOklahoma State -12.5o/u 60.5

ST Model Tulsa -1.9(+14.4 vs market)

Trends · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Oklahoma State — the basics

148 graded games since 2014

on the road	32-31	51%	-1.1	n=63
vs Tulsa	3-3	50%	-0.2	n=6
as a favorite	41-47	47%	-2.3	n=88
spread 11-14	10-10	50%	+3.4	n=20
out of conference	25-17	60%	+0.4	n=42
vs an FBS opponent	72-70	51%	-1.0	n=142
vs a G5 opponent	12-13	48%	-1.5	n=25
vs the American Athletic	3-3	50%	-0.2	n=6
in September	20-21	49%	-2.8	n=41
in the last 5 seasons	32-32	50%	-1.9	n=64

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Oklahoma State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 148 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=148
Oklahoma State has covered 4 straight	n=4

Oklahoma State — combinations

47 lean Oklahoma State · 67 lean against

Read this first. 173 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
spread 11-14 + out of conference	5-1	83%from 50%	+8.3	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	5-1	83%from 83%	+8.3	n=6
+ in September	4-1	80%from 83%	+9.4	n=5
+ in September	4-1	80%from 83%	+9.4	n=5
on the road + vs a G5 opponent	4-1	80%from 51%	+5.3	n=5
+ in September	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.3	n=5
on the road + out of conference	7-2	78%from 51%	+3.1	n=9
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-1	80%from 78%	+5.3	n=5
+ in September	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.3	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	7-2	78%from 78%	+3.1	n=9
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-1	80%from 78%	+5.3	n=5
+ in September	6-2	75%from 78%	+3.2	n=8
+ in September	6-2	75%from 78%	+3.2	n=8
spread 11-14 + in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 50%	+9.9	n=7
spread 11-14 + in September	4-2	67%from 50%	+7.2	n=6
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent	22-14	61%from 60%	+0.7	n=36
+ in September	12-11	52%from 61%	-1.5	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-7	36%from 52%	-8.8	n=11
+ vs the American Athletic	3-3	50%from 61%	-0.2	n=6
+ in September	2-3	40%from 50%	-3.3	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	9-10	47%from 61%	-1.4	n=19
+ vs the American Athletic	3-3	50%from 47%	-0.2	n=6
+ in September	8-9	47%from 47%	-2.2	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 47%	-10.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-8	43%from 61%	-6.7	n=14

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Tulsa — the basics

139 graded games since 2014

at home	24-40	38%	-4.0	n=64
vs Oklahoma State	3-3	50%	+0.2	n=6
as an underdog	46-38	55%	+0.6	n=84
spread 11-14	14-11	56%	+4.3	n=25
out of conference	25-24	51%	+1.0	n=49
vs an FBS opponent	67-66	50%	-1.1	n=133
vs a P5 opponent	11-8	58%	+0.3	n=19
vs the Big 12	5-5	50%	-0.8	n=10
in September	19-24	44%	-0.6	n=43
at this venue	24-40	38%	-4.0	n=64
in the last 5 seasons	26-34	43%	-4.3	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Tulsa — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 139 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=139

Tulsa — combinations

79 lean Tulsa · 92 lean against

Read this first. 223 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 58%	+2.4	n=8
as an underdog + out of conference	15-9	63%from 55%	+1.1	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 63%	+2.5	n=10
+ in September	13-5	72%from 63%	+3.2	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 72%	+2.5	n=10
+ vs an FBS opponent	15-9	63%from 63%	+1.1	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 63%	+2.5	n=10
+ in September	13-5	72%from 63%	+3.2	n=18
+ vs a P5 opponent	10-8	56%from 63%	-0.6	n=18
+ vs the Big 12	5-5	50%from 63%	-0.8	n=10
+ vs a P5 opponent	10-8	56%from 63%	-0.6	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 56%	+0.4	n=7
+ in September	8-5	62%from 56%	+0.7	n=13
+ vs the Big 12	5-5	50%from 56%	-0.8	n=10
+ vs the Big 12	5-5	50%from 63%	-0.8	n=10
+ in September	5-4	56%from 50%	+0.8	n=9
spread 11-14 + out of conference	5-3	63%from 56%	+9.6	n=8
+ vs an FBS opponent	5-2	71%from 63%	+11.1	n=7
+ in September	3-2	60%from 71%	+6.5	n=5
+ in September	3-3	50%from 63%	+5.3	n=6
as an underdog + spread 11-14	8-5	62%from 55%	+4.0	n=13
+ vs an FBS opponent	8-5	62%from 62%	+4.0	n=13
+ at this venue	1-4	20%from 62%	-1.9	n=5
+ at this venue	1-4	20%from 62%	-1.9	n=5
vs a P5 opponent + in September	8-5	62%from 58%	+0.7	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 62%	+0.4	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.