Colorado at Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -7o/u 51.5

ST Model Georgia Tech -14.6(+7.6 vs market)
Trends · 2026 week 1
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Colorado — the basics
136 graded games since 2014
on the road24-3342%-1.6n=57
as an underdog42-4946%-1.3n=91
spread 3.5-717-1652%-1.4n=33
out of conference19-1950%-1.4n=38
vs an FBS opponent66-6550%-0.6n=131
vs a P5 opponent55-5749%-1.1n=112
in September25-1957%+2.1n=44
in the last 5 seasons29-3148%-1.1n=60
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Colorado — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -6.0 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 136 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per gamen=136
Colorado — combinations
36 lean Colorado · 80 lean against
Read this first. 134 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
spread 3.5-7 + out of conference5-271%from 52%+6.7n=7
+ in September4-180%from 71%+9.1n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent5-271%from 71%+6.7n=7
+ in September4-180%from 71%+9.1n=5
spread 3.5-7 + in September5-271%from 52%+5.3n=7
vs an FBS opponent + in September23-1659%from 50%+3.0n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1050%from 59%-0.2n=20
vs a P5 opponent + in September14-1058%from 49%+2.4n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons7-847%from 58%+0.5n=15
out of conference + in September17-1357%from 50%+1.3n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons6-746%from 57%-2.7n=13
as an underdog + in September13-1154%from 46%+3.2n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons5-838%from 54%+0.2n=13
spread 3.5-7 + vs an FBS opponent17-1652%from 52%-1.4n=33
+ in September5-271%from 52%+5.3n=7
+ vs a P5 opponent14-1647%from 52%-3.0n=30
+ in September3-260%from 47%-0.8n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons6-746%from 47%-4.6n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons6-746%from 52%-4.6n=13
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent17-1652%from 50%-0.9n=33
+ in September15-1060%from 52%+2.5n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons6-650%from 60%-2.2n=12
+ vs a P5 opponent6-843%from 52%-5.6n=14
+ in September6-460%from 43%+0.6n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons3-633%from 43%-4.7n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons6-940%from 52%-3.9n=15
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.