Coastal Carolina at West VirginiaWest Virginia -21o/u 58

ST Model West Virginia -11.3(-9.7 vs market)

Trends · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Coastal Carolina — the basics

108 graded games since 2014

on the road	27-25	52%	+2.0	n=52
as an underdog	32-31	51%	+0.5	n=63
spread 14.5-21	8-8	50%	-0.1	n=16
out of conference	18-18	50%	-0.2	n=36
vs an FBS opponent	47-52	47%	-0.3	n=99
vs a P5 opponent	10-6	63%	+3.4	n=16
in September	15-15	50%	+0.4	n=30
in the last 5 seasons	28-34	45%	-2.5	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Coastal Carolina — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 108 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=108

Coastal Carolina — combinations

41 lean Coastal Carolina · 36 lean against

Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs a P5 opponent + in September	7-2	78%from 63%	+7.5	n=9
spread 14.5-21 + in September	4-2	67%from 50%	+6.8	n=6
as an underdog + vs a P5 opponent	7-4	64%from 51%	+3.0	n=11
+ in September	4-2	67%from 64%	+4.7	n=6
out of conference + vs a P5 opponent	10-6	63%from 50%	+3.4	n=16
+ in September	7-2	78%from 63%	+7.5	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 63%	-6.7	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	10-6	63%from 47%	+3.4	n=16
+ in September	7-2	78%from 63%	+7.5	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 63%	-6.7	n=7
on the road + vs a P5 opponent	6-4	60%from 52%	+3.0	n=10
+ in September	4-1	80%from 60%	+9.6	n=5
out of conference + in September	12-10	55%from 50%	-0.1	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 55%	-4.7	n=12
on the road + spread 14.5-21	7-6	54%from 52%	+1.1	n=13
+ in September	3-2	60%from 54%	+7.9	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	7-6	54%from 54%	+1.1	n=13
+ in September	3-2	60%from 54%	+7.9	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 54%	-1.5	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 54%	-1.5	n=8
as an underdog + out of conference	11-10	52%from 51%	+0.2	n=21
+ vs a P5 opponent	7-4	64%from 52%	+3.0	n=11
+ in September	4-2	67%from 64%	+4.7	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	11-9	55%from 52%	+2.1	n=20
+ vs a P5 opponent	7-4	64%from 55%	+3.0	n=11
+ in September	5-4	56%from 55%	+2.6	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 55%	-7.5	n=10
+ in September	5-5	50%from 52%	-1.6	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 52%	-7.5	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

West Virginia — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

at home	39-31	56%	+1.3	n=70
as a favorite	38-32	54%	+1.2	n=70
spread 14.5-21	7-5	58%	+5.5	n=12
out of conference	21-18	54%	+1.4	n=39
vs an FBS opponent	63-68	48%	-0.5	n=131
vs a G5 opponent	9-5	64%	+2.0	n=14
in September	24-17	59%	+2.0	n=41
at this venue	39-31	56%	+1.3	n=70
in the last 5 seasons	32-30	52%	-1.2	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

West Virginia — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.0 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=141

West Virginia — combinations

134 lean West Virginia · 2 lean against

Read this first. 148 combinations shown. The best one here is 89%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + spread 14.5-21	4-1	80%from 56%	+12.8	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-1	80%from 80%	+12.8	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+12.8	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+12.8	n=5
spread 14.5-21 + at this venue	4-1	80%from 58%	+12.8	n=5
at home + out of conference	15-5	75%from 56%	+5.0	n=20
+ vs an FBS opponent	8-2	80%from 75%	+6.3	n=10
+ in September	8-1	89%from 80%	+8.7	n=9
+ at this venue	8-2	80%from 80%	+6.3	n=10
+ in September	14-4	78%from 75%	+6.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-1	86%from 78%	+8.2	n=7
+ at this venue	14-4	78%from 78%	+6.3	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 75%	+5.0	n=9
+ at this venue	15-5	75%from 75%	+5.0	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 75%	+5.0	n=9
+ vs a G5 opponent	9-4	69%from 75%	+3.0	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 69%	+6.6	n=5
+ at this venue	9-4	69%from 69%	+3.0	n=13
+ in September	8-4	67%from 69%	+3.1	n=12
out of conference + at this venue	15-5	75%from 54%	+5.0	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 75%	+5.0	n=9
at home + in September	17-7	71%from 56%	+3.9	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 71%	+2.3	n=11
+ at this venue	17-7	71%from 71%	+3.9	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 71%	+2.3	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.