How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Iowa State — the basics
146 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 32-30 | 52% | +0.7 | n=62 |
| vs Iowa | 5-5 | 50% | -2.5 | n=10 |
| as an underdog | 38-27 | 58% | +2.5 | n=65 |
| spread 11-14 | 5-12 | 29% | -5.8 | n=17 |
| out of conference | 20-19 | 51% | -0.4 | n=39 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 74-62 | 54% | +2.0 | n=136 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 66-56 | 54% | +1.8 | n=122 |
| vs the Big Ten | 5-5 | 50% | -2.5 | n=10 |
| in September | 22-19 | 54% | +1.6 | n=41 |
| at this venue | 3-2 | 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 29-33 | 47% | +0.3 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Iowa State — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +2.5 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 146 graded games: +1.6 pts vs their number per game | n=146 |
Iowa State — combinations
208 lean Iowa State · 24 lean against
Read this first. 308 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs Iowa | 3-2 | 60%from 52% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + as an underdog | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + out of conference | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + out of conference | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +0.3 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.