How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
BYU — the basics
147 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 37-27 | 58% | +3.3 | n=64 |
| out of conference | 64-55 | 54% | +1.8 | n=119 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 72-67 | 52% | +1.5 | n=139 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 41-36 | 53% | +1.5 | n=77 |
| vs the Pac-12 | 11-10 | 52% | +0.5 | n=21 |
| in September | 27-20 | 57% | +3.8 | n=47 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 32-30 | 52% | +1.6 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
BYU — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +4.1 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 147 graded games: +1.7 pts vs their number per game | n=147 |
BYU — combinations
69 lean BYU · 10 lean against
Read this first. 89 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in September | 14-7 | 67%from 58% | +8.0 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-3 | 67%from 67% | +6.6 | n=9 |
| on the road + out of conference | 31-18 | 63%from 58% | +5.2 | n=49 |
| + in September | 13-5 | 72%from 63% | +9.1 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-1 | 83%from 72% | +9.3 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 14-8 | 64%from 63% | +5.1 | n=22 |
| + in September | 9-3 | 75%from 64% | +8.0 | n=12 |
| + vs the Pac-12 | 6-4 | 60%from 64% | +1.6 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 64% | +0.1 | n=7 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 31-18 | 63%from 63% | +5.2 | n=49 |
| + in September | 13-5 | 72%from 63% | +9.1 | n=18 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 14-8 | 64%from 63% | +5.1 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-5 | 62%from 63% | +4.5 | n=13 |
| + vs the Pac-12 | 6-4 | 60%from 63% | +1.6 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-5 | 62%from 63% | +4.5 | n=13 |
| + vs the Pac-12 | 6-4 | 60%from 63% | +1.6 | n=10 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +1.2 | n=5 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in September | 20-12 | 63%from 53% | +3.8 | n=32 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-4 | 69%from 63% | +6.8 | n=13 |
| on the road + vs the Pac-12 | 6-4 | 60%from 58% | +1.6 | n=10 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +1.2 | n=5 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 37-27 | 58%from 58% | +3.3 | n=64 |
| + in September | 14-7 | 67%from 58% | +8.0 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-3 | 67%from 67% | +6.6 | n=9 |
| + vs the Pac-12 | 6-4 | 60%from 58% | +1.6 | n=10 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +1.2 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 20-17 | 54%from 58% | +1.9 | n=37 |
| + in September | 10-5 | 67%from 54% | +6.6 | n=15 |
| + vs the Pac-12 | 6-4 | 60%from 54% | +1.6 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-13 | 41%from 54% | -1.8 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-14 | 50%from 58% | +0.6 | n=28 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.