How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Miami (OH) — the basics
141 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 38-32 | 54% | +1.4 | n=70 |
| vs Cincinnati | 5-4 | 56% | +4.8 | n=9 |
| out of conference | 23-26 | 47% | -1.6 | n=49 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 75-58 | 56% | +1.5 | n=133 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 11-11 | 50% | -2.9 | n=22 |
| in September | 19-24 | 44% | -1.8 | n=43 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 38-30 | 56% | +2.0 | n=68 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Miami (OH) — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 141 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game | n=141 |
| Miami (OH) has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
Miami (OH) — combinations
31 lean Miami (OH) · 25 lean against
Read this first. 71 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 72% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs Cincinnati | 3-2 | 60%from 54% | +8.2 | n=5 |
| + out of conference | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +8.2 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +8.2 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +8.2 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +8.2 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +8.2 | n=5 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +8.2 | n=5 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 36-28 | 56%from 56% | +2.1 | n=64 |
| on the road + vs a P5 opponent | 10-8 | 56%from 54% | -2.8 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 56% | +0.9 | n=10 |
| + in September | 7-8 | 47%from 56% | -3.8 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 47% | +0.9 | n=9 |
| vs Cincinnati + out of conference | 5-4 | 56%from 56% | +4.8 | n=9 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 5-4 | 56%from 56% | +4.8 | n=9 |
| + in September | 5-4 | 56%from 56% | +4.8 | n=9 |
| + in September | 5-4 | 56%from 56% | +4.8 | n=9 |
| vs Cincinnati + vs an FBS opponent | 5-4 | 56%from 56% | +4.8 | n=9 |
| + in September | 5-4 | 56%from 56% | +4.8 | n=9 |
| vs Cincinnati + in September | 5-4 | 56%from 56% | +4.8 | n=9 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 17-14 | 55%from 54% | +2.4 | n=31 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 38-32 | 54%from 54% | +1.4 | n=70 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 10-8 | 56%from 54% | -2.8 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 56% | +0.9 | n=10 |
| + in September | 7-8 | 47%from 56% | -3.8 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 17-14 | 55%from 54% | +2.4 | n=31 |
| + in September | 12-13 | 48%from 54% | -1.6 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 48% | +0.1 | n=11 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.