How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Utah State — the basics
141 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 30-38 | 44% | -0.0 | n=68 |
| out of conference | 24-26 | 48% | -0.5 | n=50 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 64-69 | 48% | +0.2 | n=133 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 14-16 | 47% | -0.9 | n=30 |
| in September | 19-18 | 51% | +1.1 | n=37 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 35-29 | 55% | +1.7 | n=64 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Utah State — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +4.3 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 141 graded games: +0.6 pts vs their number per game | n=141 |
Utah State — combinations
25 lean Utah State · 19 lean against
Read this first. 56 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| in September + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 51% | +1.9 | n=20 |
| out of conference + in September | 15-13 | 54%from 48% | -0.0 | n=28 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-6 | 60%from 54% | +2.2 | n=15 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 32-28 | 53%from 48% | +1.3 | n=60 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 8-7 | 53%from 47% | +1.3 | n=15 |
| on the road + vs a P5 opponent | 11-10 | 52%from 44% | +1.1 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 52% | +3.1 | n=10 |
| + in September | 6-7 | 46%from 52% | -3.7 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-3 | 63%from 46% | +3.6 | n=8 |
| out of conference + in the last 5 seasons | 12-12 | 50%from 48% | -0.7 | n=24 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in September | 8-8 | 50%from 47% | -2.0 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-3 | 67%from 50% | +3.5 | n=9 |
| on the road + out of conference | 11-12 | 48%from 44% | -0.2 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 48% | +0.8 | n=11 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 11-10 | 52%from 48% | +1.1 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 52% | +3.1 | n=10 |
| + in September | 6-7 | 46%from 52% | -3.7 | n=13 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 11-12 | 48%from 48% | -0.2 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 48% | +0.8 | n=11 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 11-10 | 52%from 48% | +1.1 | n=21 |
| + in September | 6-9 | 40%from 48% | -5.1 | n=15 |
| + in September | 6-9 | 40%from 48% | -5.1 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 40% | +0.7 | n=9 |
| on the road + in September | 9-10 | 47%from 44% | -1.1 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 47% | +0.9 | n=11 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.