How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Sam Houston — the basics
45 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 10-13 | 43% | -1.4 | n=23 |
| out of conference | 9-8 | 53% | +1.1 | n=17 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 17-23 | 43% | -2.3 | n=40 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 3-4 | 43% | -4.4 | n=7 |
| in September | 6-6 | 50% | -2.8 | n=12 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 19-24 | 44% | -2.2 | n=43 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Sam Houston — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -8.4 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 45 graded games: -2.6 pts vs their number per game | n=45 |
| Sam Houston has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
Sam Houston — combinations
7 lean Sam Houston · 31 lean against
Read this first. 56 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 56% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| out of conference + in the last 5 seasons | 9-6 | 60%from 53% | +2.8 | n=15 |
| in September + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 50% | -0.9 | n=11 |
| out of conference + vs an FBS opponent | 8-8 | 50%from 53% | +0.2 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-6 | 57%from 50% | +2.0 | n=14 |
| + in September | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | -3.8 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 50% | -1.6 | n=9 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-4 | 43%from 50% | -4.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-3 | 50%from 43% | -1.3 | n=6 |
| + in September | 2-4 | 33%from 43% | -9.3 | n=6 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in September | 6-6 | 50%from 43% | -2.8 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 50% | -0.9 | n=11 |
| out of conference + in September | 5-5 | 50%from 53% | -3.8 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 50% | -1.6 | n=9 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 3-3 | 50%from 43% | -1.3 | n=6 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 10-11 | 48%from 43% | -0.3 | n=21 |
| on the road + out of conference | 5-6 | 45%from 43% | +0.1 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 45% | +2.9 | n=9 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-4 | 43%from 45% | -4.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-3 | 50%from 43% | -1.3 | n=6 |
| + in September | 2-4 | 33%from 43% | -9.3 | n=6 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-6 | 40%from 45% | -1.3 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-4 | 50%from 40% | +1.4 | n=8 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-4 | 43%from 40% | -4.4 | n=7 |
| + in September | 2-5 | 29%from 40% | -9.4 | n=7 |
| + in September | 2-5 | 29%from 45% | -9.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-4 | 33%from 29% | -7.2 | n=6 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.