How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Hawai'i — the basics
136 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 23-41 | 36% | -3.3 | n=64 |
| out of conference | 21-29 | 42% | -2.8 | n=50 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 56-70 | 44% | -1.6 | n=126 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 12-18 | 40% | -4.0 | n=30 |
| in October | 15-23 | 39% | -3.0 | n=38 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 33-28 | 54% | -0.2 | n=61 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Hawai'i — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +4.0 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 136 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game | n=136 |
| Hawai'i has covered 2 straight | n=2 |
Hawai'i — combinations
1 lean Hawai'i · 29 lean against
Read this first. 38 combinations shown. The best one here is 55%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 31-25 | 55%from 44% | +0.3 | n=56 |
| in October + in the last 5 seasons | 8-8 | 50%from 39% | +1.8 | n=16 |
| on the road + in October | 9-13 | 41%from 36% | -3.0 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 41% | -2.1 | n=8 |
| out of conference + vs an FBS opponent | 16-24 | 40%from 42% | -2.3 | n=40 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 12-18 | 40%from 40% | -4.0 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-9 | 40%from 40% | -6.8 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-12 | 37%from 40% | -6.4 | n=19 |
| out of conference + vs a P5 opponent | 12-18 | 40%from 42% | -4.0 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-9 | 40%from 40% | -6.8 | n=15 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent | 12-18 | 40%from 44% | -4.0 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-9 | 40%from 40% | -6.8 | n=15 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 6-9 | 40%from 40% | -6.8 | n=15 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in October | 15-23 | 39%from 44% | -3.0 | n=38 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-8 | 50%from 39% | +1.8 | n=16 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 11-18 | 38%from 36% | -4.5 | n=29 |
| out of conference + in the last 5 seasons | 9-15 | 38%from 42% | -6.3 | n=24 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 23-41 | 36%from 36% | -3.3 | n=64 |
| + in October | 9-13 | 41%from 36% | -3.0 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 41% | -2.1 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-18 | 38%from 36% | -4.5 | n=29 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-12 | 20%from 36% | -7.5 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-6 | 33%from 20% | -6.2 | n=9 |
| on the road + vs a P5 opponent | 3-12 | 20%from 36% | -7.5 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-6 | 33%from 20% | -6.2 | n=9 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.