Utah at Iowa State

ST Model Utah -10.1
Trends · 2026 week 4
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Utah — the basics
144 graded games since 2014
on the road35-2558%+4.3n=60
in a conference game59-4457%+3.1n=103
vs an FBS opponent75-6056%+2.6n=135
vs a P5 opponent68-5555%+2.4n=123
vs the Big 1210-1050%+0.2n=20
in September20-2149%+1.2n=41
in the last 5 seasons34-3053%+3.0n=64
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Utah — form & streaks
Last 12 games: +9.2 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 144 graded games: +2.6 pts vs their number per gamen=144
Utah — combinations
33 lean Utah · 20 lean against
Read this first. 88 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 77% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + vs a P5 opponent32-2259%from 58%+4.8n=54
+ in September7-558%from 59%+5.0n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 58%-0.9n=6
+ vs the Big 124-450%from 59%+3.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons4-450%from 50%+3.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons11-1346%from 59%+1.4n=24
on the road + vs an FBS opponent35-2558%from 58%+4.3n=60
+ vs a P5 opponent32-2259%from 58%+4.8n=54
+ in September7-558%from 59%+5.0n=12
+ vs the Big 124-450%from 59%+3.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons11-1346%from 59%+1.4n=24
+ in September10-856%from 58%+3.1n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons4-544%from 56%-2.0n=9
+ vs the Big 124-450%from 58%+3.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons4-450%from 50%+3.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons12-1544%from 58%+0.8n=27
on the road + in a conference game28-2058%from 58%+4.5n=48
+ in September5-363%from 58%+7.2n=8
+ vs an FBS opponent28-2058%from 58%+4.5n=48
+ in September5-363%from 58%+7.2n=8
+ vs a P5 opponent28-2058%from 58%+4.5n=48
+ vs the Big 124-450%from 58%+3.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1148%from 58%+1.4n=21
+ vs a P5 opponent28-2058%from 58%+4.5n=48
+ in September5-363%from 58%+7.2n=8
+ vs the Big 124-450%from 58%+3.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1148%from 58%+1.4n=21
+ vs the Big 124-450%from 58%+3.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons4-450%from 50%+3.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1148%from 58%+1.4n=21
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.