Arizona State at Texas Tech

ST Model Texas Tech -14
Trends · 2026 week 7
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Arizona State — the basics
137 graded games since 2014
on the road31-2753%+2.1n=58
in a conference game57-4158%+1.7n=98
vs an FBS opponent70-6054%+0.6n=130
vs a P5 opponent65-5057%+1.3n=115
vs the Big 1213-959%+3.7n=22
in October21-1558%+2.4n=36
in the last 5 seasons33-2953%-0.2n=62
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Arizona State — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -2.8 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 137 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per gamen=137
Arizona State has failed to cover 2 straightn=2
Arizona State — combinations
64 lean Arizona State · 7 lean against
Read this first. 93 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
in a conference game + vs the Big 1212-667%from 58%+5.0n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons12-667%from 67%+5.0n=18
+ in October3-350%from 67%-2.7n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 50%-2.7n=6
in October + in the last 5 seasons10-663%from 58%+1.8n=16
vs the Big 12 + in the last 5 seasons12-860%from 59%+3.8n=20
on the road + vs the Big 126-460%from 53%+6.8n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons6-460%from 60%+6.8n=10
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons26-1859%from 58%+2.0n=44
vs an FBS opponent + vs the Big 1213-959%from 54%+3.7n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons12-860%from 59%+3.8n=20
+ in October3-350%from 59%-2.7n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 50%-2.7n=6
vs a P5 opponent + vs the Big 1213-959%from 57%+3.7n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons12-860%from 59%+3.8n=20
+ in October3-350%from 59%-2.7n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 50%-2.7n=6
in a conference game + in October21-1558%from 58%+2.4n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons10-663%from 58%+1.8n=16
vs an FBS opponent + in October21-1558%from 54%+2.4n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons10-663%from 58%+1.8n=16
vs a P5 opponent + in October21-1558%from 57%+2.4n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons10-663%from 58%+1.8n=16
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent57-4158%from 58%+1.7n=98
+ vs the Big 1212-667%from 58%+5.0n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons12-667%from 67%+5.0n=18
+ in October3-350%from 67%-2.7n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons26-1859%from 58%+2.0n=44
+ in October21-1558%from 58%+2.4n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons10-663%from 58%+1.8n=16
+ vs a P5 opponent57-4158%from 58%+1.7n=98
+ vs the Big 1212-667%from 58%+5.0n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons26-1859%from 58%+2.0n=44
+ in October21-1558%from 58%+2.4n=36
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.