Texas Tech at Cincinnati

ST Model Texas Tech -20
Trends · 2026 week 8
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Texas Tech — the basics
144 graded games since 2014
on the road31-2952%-1.1n=60
in a conference game58-4755%-0.1n=105
vs an FBS opponent71-6253%+0.3n=133
vs a P5 opponent64-5753%-0.4n=121
vs the Big 1259-4756%+0.1n=106
in October21-2546%-2.0n=46
in the last 5 seasons39-2561%+2.4n=64
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Texas Tech — form & streaks
Last 12 games: +8.7 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 144 graded games: +0.2 pts vs their number per gamen=144
Texas Tech — combinations
66 lean Texas Tech · 25 lean against
Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 66%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
vs the Big 12 + in the last 5 seasons29-1566%from 56%+2.9n=44
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons28-1565%from 55%+2.7n=43
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons33-2062%from 53%+2.7n=53
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons36-2361%from 53%+3.2n=59
on the road + in the last 5 seasons15-1158%from 52%+0.9n=26
on the road + in a conference game29-2356%from 52%-0.3n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons15-865%from 56%+2.9n=23
+ vs an FBS opponent29-2356%from 56%-0.3n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons15-865%from 56%+2.9n=23
+ vs a P5 opponent29-2356%from 56%-0.3n=52
+ vs the Big 1229-2356%from 56%-0.3n=52
+ in October12-1446%from 56%-1.4n=26
+ vs a P5 opponent29-2356%from 56%-0.3n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons15-865%from 56%+2.9n=23
+ vs the Big 1229-2356%from 56%-0.3n=52
+ in October12-1446%from 56%-1.4n=26
+ vs the Big 1229-2356%from 56%-0.3n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons15-865%from 56%+2.9n=23
+ in October12-1446%from 56%-1.4n=26
+ in October12-1446%from 56%-1.4n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons7-464%from 46%+2.6n=11
on the road + vs the Big 1229-2356%from 52%-0.3n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons15-865%from 56%+2.9n=23
+ in October12-1446%from 56%-1.4n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons7-464%from 46%+2.6n=11
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.