West Virginia at TCU—

ST Model TCU -14.1

Trends · 2026 week 8

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

West Virginia — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

on the road	28-32	47%	-1.4	n=60
vs TCU	9-2	82%	+9.6	n=11
in a conference game	49-53	48%	-0.8	n=102
vs an FBS opponent	63-68	48%	-0.5	n=131
vs a P5 opponent	61-66	48%	-0.4	n=127
vs the Big 12	49-53	48%	-0.8	n=102
in October	19-25	43%	-0.3	n=44
at this venue	4-1	80%	+7.4	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	32-30	52%	-1.2	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

West Virginia — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.0 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=141

West Virginia — combinations

82 lean West Virginia · 84 lean against

Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 82%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs TCU + in a conference game	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ vs an FBS opponent	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ vs the Big 12	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 82%	+7.4	n=5
+ in October	5-2	71%from 82%	+6.7	n=7
+ vs a P5 opponent	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ vs the Big 12	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 82%	+7.4	n=5
+ in October	5-2	71%from 82%	+6.7	n=7
+ vs the Big 12	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 82%	+7.4	n=5
+ in October	5-2	71%from 82%	+6.7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 82%	+7.4	n=5
+ in October	5-2	71%from 82%	+6.7	n=7
vs TCU + vs an FBS opponent	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ vs the Big 12	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 82%	+7.4	n=5
+ in October	5-2	71%from 82%	+6.7	n=7
+ vs the Big 12	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.6	n=11
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 82%	+7.4	n=5
+ in October	5-2	71%from 82%	+6.7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 82%	+7.4	n=5
+ in October	5-2	71%from 82%	+6.7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

TCU — the basics

144 graded games since 2014

at home	35-38	48%	-0.0	n=73
vs West Virginia	2-9	18%	-9.6	n=11
in a conference game	48-55	47%	-0.8	n=103
vs an FBS opponent	66-68	49%	-0.1	n=134
vs a P5 opponent	59-64	48%	-0.5	n=123
vs the Big 12	48-55	47%	-0.8	n=103
in October	20-24	45%	-1.8	n=44
at this venue	35-38	48%	-0.0	n=73
in the last 5 seasons	30-32	48%	-1.3	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

TCU — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.7 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 144 graded games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=144
TCU has covered 3 straight	n=3

TCU — combinations

65 lean TCU · 113 lean against

Read this first. 215 combinations shown. The best one here is 59%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + in a conference game	28-24	54%from 48%	+1.8	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 54%	+4.2	n=22
+ vs an FBS opponent	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 54%	+4.2	n=22
+ vs a P5 opponent	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ vs the Big 12	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ at this venue	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ in October	12-12	50%from 54%	+2.3	n=24
+ vs a P5 opponent	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 54%	+4.2	n=22
+ vs the Big 12	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ at this venue	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ in October	12-12	50%from 54%	+2.3	n=24
+ vs the Big 12	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 54%	+4.2	n=22
+ at this venue	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ in October	12-12	50%from 54%	+2.3	n=24
+ at this venue	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 54%	+4.2	n=22
+ in October	12-12	50%from 54%	+2.3	n=24
+ at this venue	12-12	50%from 50%	+2.3	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 50%	+0.8	n=11
at home + vs the Big 12	28-24	54%from 48%	+1.8	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 54%	+4.2	n=22
+ at this venue	28-24	54%from 54%	+1.8	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 54%	+4.2	n=22
+ in October	12-12	50%from 54%	+2.3	n=24
+ at this venue	12-12	50%from 50%	+2.3	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 50%	+0.8	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.