Oklahoma State at Iowa State—

ST Model Iowa State -18

Trends · 2026 week 9

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Oklahoma State — the basics

148 graded games since 2014

on the road	32-31	51%	-1.1	n=63
vs Iowa State	5-5	50%	-0.1	n=10
in a conference game	50-56	47%	-1.6	n=106
vs an FBS opponent	72-70	51%	-1.0	n=142
vs a P5 opponent	63-60	51%	-1.0	n=123
vs the Big 12	50-56	47%	-1.6	n=106
in October	23-21	52%	+0.0	n=44
at this venue	2-3	40%	+1.7	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	32-32	50%	-1.9	n=64

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Oklahoma State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 148 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=148
Oklahoma State has covered 4 straight	n=4

Oklahoma State — combinations

58 lean Oklahoma State · 75 lean against

Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 65% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 52%	+2.4	n=20
vs Iowa State + in October	3-2	60%from 50%	-0.6	n=5
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	14-12	54%from 51%	-3.7	n=26
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	28-25	53%from 51%	-0.9	n=53
in a conference game + in October	23-21	52%from 47%	+0.0	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 52%	+2.4	n=20
vs an FBS opponent + in October	23-21	52%from 51%	+0.0	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 52%	+2.4	n=20
vs a P5 opponent + in October	23-21	52%from 51%	+0.0	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 52%	+2.4	n=20
vs the Big 12 + in October	23-21	52%from 47%	+0.0	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 52%	+2.4	n=20
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 47%	-0.5	n=46
vs the Big 12 + in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 47%	-0.5	n=46
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	63-60	51%from 51%	-1.0	n=123
+ in the last 5 seasons	28-25	53%from 51%	-0.9	n=53
+ in October	23-21	52%from 51%	+0.0	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 52%	+2.4	n=20
+ vs the Big 12	50-56	47%from 51%	-1.6	n=106
+ in October	23-21	52%from 47%	+0.0	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 47%	-0.5	n=46
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 47%	+1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 51%	+1.7	n=5
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	32-31	51%from 51%	-1.1	n=63
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-12	54%from 51%	-3.7	n=26
+ in October	11-11	50%from 51%	-1.6	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 50%	-0.6	n=10
+ vs a P5 opponent	28-30	48%from 51%	-1.7	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-12	50%from 48%	-4.9	n=24
+ in October	11-11	50%from 48%	-1.6	n=22
+ vs the Big 12	25-29	46%from 48%	-1.8	n=54
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 48%	+1.7	n=5
+ vs the Big 12	25-29	46%from 51%	-1.8	n=54
+ in October	11-11	50%from 46%	-1.6	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 46%	-4.1	n=22
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 46%	+1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 51%	+1.7	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Iowa State — the basics

146 graded games since 2014

at home	42-33	56%	+3.1	n=75
vs Oklahoma State	5-5	50%	+0.1	n=10
in a conference game	58-49	54%	+2.3	n=107
vs an FBS opponent	74-62	54%	+2.0	n=136
vs a P5 opponent	66-56	54%	+1.8	n=122
vs the Big 12	58-49	54%	+2.3	n=107
in October	29-13	69%	+6.4	n=42
at this venue	42-32	57%	+3.4	n=74
in the last 5 seasons	29-33	47%	+0.3	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Iowa State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 146 graded games: +1.6 pts vs their number per game	n=146

Iowa State — combinations

136 lean Iowa State · 42 lean against

Read this first. 215 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + in October	15-6	71%from 56%	+6.8	n=21
+ at this venue	15-6	71%from 71%	+6.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 71%	+0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 71%	+0.4	n=7
in October + at this venue	15-6	71%from 69%	+6.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 71%	+0.4	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + in October	29-13	69%from 54%	+6.4	n=42
+ at this venue	15-6	71%from 69%	+6.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 71%	+0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 69%	+1.8	n=16
in a conference game + in October	28-13	68%from 54%	+6.5	n=41
+ at this venue	14-6	70%from 68%	+7.0	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 70%	+0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 68%	+1.8	n=16
vs a P5 opponent + in October	28-13	68%from 54%	+6.5	n=41
+ at this venue	14-6	70%from 68%	+7.0	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 70%	+0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 68%	+1.8	n=16
vs the Big 12 + in October	28-13	68%from 54%	+6.5	n=41
+ at this venue	14-6	70%from 68%	+7.0	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 70%	+0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 68%	+1.8	n=16
at home + vs Oklahoma State	3-2	60%from 56%	-1.7	n=5
+ in a conference game	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs the Big 12	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs the Big 12	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs the Big 12	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs the Big 12	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.