Colorado at Arizona State

ST Model Arizona State -8.5
Trends · 2026 week 10
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Colorado — the basics
136 graded games since 2014
on the road24-3342%-1.6n=57
vs Arizona State4-544%-0.8n=9
in a conference game49-4950%-0.5n=98
vs an FBS opponent66-6550%-0.6n=131
vs a P5 opponent55-5749%-1.1n=112
vs the Big 1212-1152%-1.1n=23
in November20-2248%-1.0n=42
in the last 5 seasons29-3148%-1.1n=60
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Colorado — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -6.0 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 136 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per gamen=136
Colorado — combinations
25 lean Colorado · 43 lean against
Read this first. 101 combinations shown. The best one here is 61%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
in a conference game + vs the Big 1211-761%from 50%+2.4n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons11-761%from 61%+2.4n=18
+ in November4-450%from 61%-0.8n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons4-450%from 50%-0.8n=8
vs the Big 12 + in the last 5 seasons12-957%from 52%+1.4n=21
on the road + vs the Big 125-456%from 42%+6.9n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons5-456%from 56%+6.9n=9
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons23-2152%from 50%+0.1n=44
vs an FBS opponent + vs the Big 1212-1152%from 50%-1.1n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons12-957%from 52%+1.4n=21
+ in November4-450%from 52%-0.8n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons4-450%from 50%-0.8n=8
vs a P5 opponent + vs the Big 1212-1152%from 49%-1.1n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons12-957%from 52%+1.4n=21
+ in November4-450%from 52%-0.8n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons4-450%from 50%-0.8n=8
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent49-4950%from 50%-0.5n=98
+ vs the Big 1211-761%from 50%+2.4n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons11-761%from 61%+2.4n=18
+ in November4-450%from 61%-0.8n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons23-2152%from 50%+0.1n=44
+ vs a P5 opponent49-4950%from 50%-0.5n=98
+ vs the Big 1211-761%from 50%+2.4n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons23-2152%from 50%+0.1n=44
+ in November19-2246%from 50%-1.1n=41
+ in November19-2246%from 50%-1.1n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1050%from 46%-1.6n=20
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.