Kansas at West Virginia

ST Model Kansas -4.6
Trends · 2026 week 11
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Kansas — the basics
135 graded games since 2014
on the road24-3739%-1.3n=61
vs West Virginia7-370%+5.4n=10
in a conference game49-5448%-0.6n=103
vs an FBS opponent57-6945%-0.7n=126
vs a P5 opponent53-5947%-0.0n=112
vs the Big 1249-5448%-0.6n=103
in November24-2153%+0.9n=45
at this venue4-180%+9.1n=5
in the last 5 seasons28-3147%+0.5n=59
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Kansas — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -7.0 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 135 graded games: -0.9 pts vs their number per gamen=135
Kansas — combinations
118 lean Kansas · 39 lean against
Read this first. 166 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + vs West Virginia4-180%from 39%+9.1n=5
+ in a conference game4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ vs the Big 124-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ at this venue4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ vs the Big 124-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ at this venue4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ vs the Big 124-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ at this venue4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ vs the Big 124-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ at this venue4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
+ at this venue4-180%from 80%+9.1n=5
on the road + at this venue4-180%from 39%+9.1n=5
vs West Virginia + at this venue4-180%from 70%+9.1n=5
in a conference game + at this venue4-180%from 48%+9.1n=5
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue4-180%from 45%+9.1n=5
vs a P5 opponent + at this venue4-180%from 47%+9.1n=5
vs the Big 12 + at this venue4-180%from 48%+9.1n=5
vs West Virginia + in a conference game7-370%from 70%+5.4n=10
+ at this venue4-180%from 70%+9.1n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent7-370%from 70%+5.4n=10
+ at this venue4-180%from 70%+9.1n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent7-370%from 70%+5.4n=10
+ vs the Big 127-370%from 70%+5.4n=10
+ vs a P5 opponent7-370%from 70%+5.4n=10
+ at this venue4-180%from 70%+9.1n=5
+ vs the Big 127-370%from 70%+5.4n=10
+ vs the Big 127-370%from 70%+5.4n=10
+ at this venue4-180%from 70%+9.1n=5
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.