How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Kansas State — the basics
144 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 30-28 | 52% | +1.5 | n=58 |
| vs TCU | 8-3 | 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| in a conference game | 58-45 | 56% | +3.0 | n=103 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 75-60 | 56% | +2.9 | n=135 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 68-53 | 56% | +2.8 | n=121 |
| vs the Big 12 | 59-46 | 56% | +3.1 | n=105 |
| in November | 24-20 | 55% | +1.9 | n=44 |
| at this venue | 3-2 | 60% | +6.8 | n=5 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 34-29 | 54% | +3.0 | n=63 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Kansas State — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 144 graded games: +2.6 pts vs their number per game | n=144 |
Kansas State — combinations
146 lean Kansas State · 18 lean against
Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 73% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs TCU + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +11.9 | n=5 |
| vs TCU + in a conference game | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +11.9 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +11.9 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 73% | +6.8 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +11.9 | n=5 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 73% | +6.8 | n=5 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +11.9 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 73% | +6.8 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 73% | +6.8 | n=5 |
| vs TCU + vs an FBS opponent | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +11.9 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +11.9 | n=5 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 73% | +6.8 | n=5 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 8-3 | 73%from 73% | +8.9 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +11.9 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 73% | +6.8 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 73% | +6.8 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.