Texas Tech at Oklahoma State—

ST Model Texas Tech -25.6

Trends · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Texas Tech — the basics

144 graded games since 2014

on the road	31-29	52%	-1.1	n=60
vs Oklahoma State	9-2	82%	+5.5	n=11
in a conference game	58-47	55%	-0.1	n=105
vs an FBS opponent	71-62	53%	+0.3	n=133
vs a P5 opponent	64-57	53%	-0.4	n=121
vs the Big 12	59-47	56%	+0.1	n=106
in November	28-17	62%	+1.0	n=45
at this venue	6-0	100%	+10.4	n=6
in the last 5 seasons	39-25	61%	+2.4	n=64

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Texas Tech — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +8.7 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 144 graded games: +0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=144

Texas Tech — combinations

157 lean Texas Tech · 0 lean against

Read this first. 166 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 53.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs Oklahoma State	6-0	100%from 52%	+10.4	n=6
+ in a conference game	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs the Big 12	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs the Big 12	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs the Big 12	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs the Big 12	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 100%	+10.4	n=6
on the road + at this venue	6-0	100%from 52%	+10.4	n=6
vs Oklahoma State + at this venue	6-0	100%from 82%	+10.4	n=6
in a conference game + at this venue	6-0	100%from 55%	+10.4	n=6
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue	6-0	100%from 53%	+10.4	n=6
vs a P5 opponent + at this venue	6-0	100%from 53%	+10.4	n=6
vs the Big 12 + at this venue	6-0	100%from 56%	+10.4	n=6
vs Oklahoma State + in a conference game	9-2	82%from 82%	+5.5	n=11
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 82%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	9-2	82%from 82%	+5.5	n=11
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 82%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs a P5 opponent	9-2	82%from 82%	+5.5	n=11
+ vs the Big 12	9-2	82%from 82%	+5.5	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	9-2	82%from 82%	+5.5	n=11
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 82%	+10.4	n=6
+ vs the Big 12	9-2	82%from 82%	+5.5	n=11
+ vs the Big 12	9-2	82%from 82%	+5.5	n=11
+ at this venue	6-0	100%from 82%	+10.4	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Oklahoma State — the basics

148 graded games since 2014

at home	35-38	48%	-1.4	n=73
vs Texas Tech	2-9	18%	-5.5	n=11
in a conference game	50-56	47%	-1.6	n=106
vs an FBS opponent	72-70	51%	-1.0	n=142
vs a P5 opponent	63-60	51%	-1.0	n=123
vs the Big 12	50-56	47%	-1.6	n=106
in November	19-22	46%	-3.0	n=41
at this venue	35-38	48%	-1.4	n=73
in the last 5 seasons	32-32	50%	-1.9	n=64

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Oklahoma State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 148 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=148
Oklahoma State has covered 4 straight	n=4

Oklahoma State — combinations

63 lean Oklahoma State · 102 lean against

Read this first. 204 combinations shown. The best one here is 59%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	28-25	53%from 51%	-0.9	n=53
in November + in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 46%	-1.8	n=19
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 47%	-0.5	n=46
vs the Big 12 + in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 47%	-0.5	n=46
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	63-60	51%from 51%	-1.0	n=123
+ in the last 5 seasons	28-25	53%from 51%	-0.9	n=53
+ at this venue	27-26	51%from 51%	-0.8	n=53
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-10	58%from 51%	+3.9	n=24
+ vs the Big 12	50-56	47%from 51%	-1.6	n=106
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 47%	-0.5	n=46
+ at this venue	25-25	50%from 47%	-0.9	n=50
+ in November	19-22	46%from 47%	-3.0	n=41
+ in November	19-22	46%from 51%	-3.0	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 46%	-1.8	n=19
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 46%	-1.7	n=19
at home + vs a P5 opponent	27-26	51%from 48%	-0.8	n=53
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-10	58%from 51%	+3.9	n=24
+ at this venue	27-26	51%from 51%	-0.8	n=53
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-10	58%from 51%	+3.9	n=24
+ vs the Big 12	25-25	50%from 51%	-0.9	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 50%	+4.1	n=22
+ at this venue	25-25	50%from 50%	-0.9	n=50
+ in November	9-10	47%from 50%	-1.7	n=19
+ in November	9-10	47%from 51%	-1.7	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 47%	+3.4	n=9
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 47%	-1.7	n=19

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.