How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Arizona State — the basics
137 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 31-27 | 53% | +2.1 | n=58 |
| vs Arizona | 6-5 | 55% | +3.9 | n=11 |
| in a conference game | 57-41 | 58% | +1.7 | n=98 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 70-60 | 54% | +0.6 | n=130 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 65-50 | 57% | +1.3 | n=115 |
| vs the Big 12 | 13-9 | 59% | +3.7 | n=22 |
| in November | 23-19 | 55% | +0.1 | n=42 |
| at this venue | 3-2 | 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 33-29 | 53% | -0.2 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Arizona State — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -2.8 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 137 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game | n=137 |
| Arizona State has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
Arizona State — combinations
148 lean Arizona State · 0 lean against
Read this first. 157 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 5.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs the Big 12 + in November | 7-2 | 78%from 59% | +8.8 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 78% | +8.8 | n=9 |
| in a conference game + vs the Big 12 | 12-6 | 67%from 58% | +5.0 | n=18 |
| + in November | 7-2 | 78%from 67% | +8.8 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 78% | +8.8 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-6 | 67%from 67% | +5.0 | n=18 |
| vs the Big 12 + in the last 5 seasons | 12-8 | 60%from 59% | +3.8 | n=20 |
| on the road + vs the Big 12 | 6-4 | 60%from 53% | +6.8 | n=10 |
| + in November | 5-0 | 100%from 60% | +19.7 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 100% | +19.7 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 60% | +6.8 | n=10 |
| on the road + vs Arizona | 3-2 | 60%from 53% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| + in a conference game | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| on the road + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 53% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| vs Arizona + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 55% | +11.6 | n=5 |
| vs Arizona + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 55% | +0.3 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.