How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
TCU — the basics
144 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 27-32 | 46% | -1.5 | n=59 |
| vs Texas Tech | 5-6 | 45% | +3.7 | n=11 |
| in a conference game | 48-55 | 47% | -0.8 | n=103 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 66-68 | 49% | -0.1 | n=134 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 59-64 | 48% | -0.5 | n=123 |
| vs the Big 12 | 48-55 | 47% | -0.8 | n=103 |
| in November | 21-23 | 48% | -0.5 | n=44 |
| at this venue | 2-3 | 40% | +4.7 | n=5 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 30-32 | 48% | -1.3 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
TCU — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -1.7 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 144 graded games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game | n=144 |
| TCU has covered 3 straight | n=3 |
TCU — combinations
22 lean TCU · 145 lean against
Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Texas Tech + in November | 3-2 | 60%from 45% | +3.9 | n=5 |
| in November + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 48% | +0.3 | n=20 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 29-29 | 50%from 49% | -0.9 | n=58 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 26-28 | 48%from 48% | -1.3 | n=54 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent | 59-64 | 48%from 49% | -0.5 | n=123 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 26-28 | 48%from 48% | -1.3 | n=54 |
| + in November | 21-23 | 48%from 48% | -0.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 48% | +0.3 | n=20 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 48-55 | 47%from 48% | -0.8 | n=103 |
| + in November | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.8 | n=44 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 47% | +4.7 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 48% | +4.7 | n=5 |
| in a conference game + in November | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 48% | +0.3 | n=20 |
| in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.8 | n=44 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in November | 21-23 | 48%from 49% | -0.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 48% | +0.3 | n=20 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in November | 21-23 | 48%from 48% | -0.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 48% | +0.3 | n=20 |
| vs the Big 12 + in November | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 48% | +0.3 | n=20 |
| vs the Big 12 + in the last 5 seasons | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.8 | n=44 |
| in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent | 48-55 | 47%from 47% | -0.8 | n=103 |
| + in November | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 48% | +0.3 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.8 | n=44 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 48-55 | 47%from 47% | -0.8 | n=103 |
| + in November | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.8 | n=44 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 48-55 | 47%from 47% | -0.8 | n=103 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 47% | +4.7 | n=5 |
| + vs the Big 12 | 48-55 | 47%from 47% | -0.8 | n=103 |
| + in November | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 21-23 | 48%from 47% | -0.8 | n=44 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 47% | +4.7 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 47% | +4.7 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.