West Virginia at Utah

ST Model Utah -23.8
Trends · 2026 week 13
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
West Virginia — the basics
141 graded games since 2014
on the road28-3247%-1.4n=60
in a conference game49-5348%-0.8n=102
vs an FBS opponent63-6848%-0.5n=131
vs a P5 opponent61-6648%-0.4n=127
vs the Big 1249-5348%-0.8n=102
in November24-1956%+0.2n=43
in the last 5 seasons32-3052%-1.2n=62
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
West Virginia — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -3.0 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 141 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per gamen=141
West Virginia — combinations
25 lean West Virginia · 53 lean against
Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 57%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + in November12-957%from 47%+0.7n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons4-640%from 57%-4.8n=10
in a conference game + in November24-1956%from 48%+0.2n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1050%from 56%-2.3n=20
vs an FBS opponent + in November24-1956%from 48%+0.2n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1050%from 56%-2.3n=20
vs a P5 opponent + in November24-1956%from 48%+0.2n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1050%from 56%-2.3n=20
vs the Big 12 + in November24-1956%from 48%+0.2n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1050%from 56%-2.3n=20
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons28-2850%from 48%-1.7n=56
in November + in the last 5 seasons10-1050%from 56%-2.3n=20
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons28-2949%from 48%-1.9n=57
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons22-2349%from 48%-2.7n=45
vs the Big 12 + in the last 5 seasons22-2349%from 48%-2.7n=45
on the road + in a conference game25-2748%from 47%-1.3n=52
+ in November12-957%from 48%+0.7n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons4-640%from 57%-4.8n=10
+ vs an FBS opponent25-2748%from 48%-1.3n=52
+ in November12-957%from 48%+0.7n=21
+ vs a P5 opponent25-2748%from 48%-1.3n=52
+ vs the Big 1225-2748%from 48%-1.3n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons11-1248%from 48%-2.5n=23
+ vs a P5 opponent25-2748%from 48%-1.3n=52
+ in November12-957%from 48%+0.7n=21
+ vs the Big 1225-2748%from 48%-1.3n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons11-1248%from 48%-2.5n=23
+ vs the Big 1225-2748%from 48%-1.3n=52
+ in November12-957%from 48%+0.7n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons11-1248%from 48%-2.5n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons11-1248%from 48%-2.5n=23
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.