Oklahoma State at West Virginia—

ST Model West Virginia -11.7

Trends · 2026 week 4

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Oklahoma State — the basics

148 graded games since 2014

on the road	32-31	51%	-1.1	n=63
vs West Virginia	8-3	73%	+2.0	n=11
in a conference game	50-56	47%	-1.6	n=106
vs an FBS opponent	72-70	51%	-1.0	n=142
vs a P5 opponent	63-60	51%	-1.0	n=123
vs the Big 12	50-56	47%	-1.6	n=106
in September	20-21	49%	-2.8	n=41
at this venue	5-0	100%	+10.0	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	32-32	50%	-1.9	n=64

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Oklahoma State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 148 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=148
Oklahoma State has covered 4 straight	n=4

Oklahoma State — combinations

85 lean Oklahoma State · 55 lean against

Read this first. 163 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 53.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs West Virginia	5-0	100%from 51%	+10.0	n=5
+ in a conference game	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs the Big 12	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs the Big 12	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs the Big 12	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs the Big 12	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.0	n=5
on the road + at this venue	5-0	100%from 51%	+10.0	n=5
vs West Virginia + at this venue	5-0	100%from 73%	+10.0	n=5
in a conference game + at this venue	5-0	100%from 47%	+10.0	n=5
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue	5-0	100%from 51%	+10.0	n=5
vs a P5 opponent + at this venue	5-0	100%from 51%	+10.0	n=5
vs the Big 12 + at this venue	5-0	100%from 47%	+10.0	n=5
vs West Virginia + in a conference game	8-3	73%from 73%	+2.0	n=11
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 73%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	8-3	73%from 73%	+2.0	n=11
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 73%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	8-3	73%from 73%	+2.0	n=11
+ vs the Big 12	8-3	73%from 73%	+2.0	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	8-3	73%from 73%	+2.0	n=11
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 73%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs the Big 12	8-3	73%from 73%	+2.0	n=11
+ vs the Big 12	8-3	73%from 73%	+2.0	n=11
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 73%	+10.0	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

West Virginia — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

at home	39-31	56%	+1.3	n=70
vs Oklahoma State	3-8	27%	-2.0	n=11
in a conference game	49-53	48%	-0.8	n=102
vs an FBS opponent	63-68	48%	-0.5	n=131
vs a P5 opponent	61-66	48%	-0.4	n=127
vs the Big 12	49-53	48%	-0.8	n=102
in September	24-17	59%	+2.0	n=41
at this venue	39-31	56%	+1.3	n=70
in the last 5 seasons	32-30	52%	-1.2	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

West Virginia — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.0 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=141

West Virginia — combinations

46 lean West Virginia · 93 lean against

Read this first. 200 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 68% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + in September	17-7	71%from 56%	+3.9	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 71%	+2.3	n=11
+ at this venue	17-7	71%from 71%	+3.9	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 71%	+2.3	n=11
in September + at this venue	17-7	71%from 59%	+3.9	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 71%	+2.3	n=11
at home + in the last 5 seasons	18-13	58%from 56%	-0.6	n=31
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	18-13	58%from 56%	-0.6	n=31
in September + in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 59%	+0.8	n=19
vs a P5 opponent + in September	16-12	57%from 48%	+2.0	n=28
+ at this venue	9-3	75%from 57%	+4.7	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 75%	-0.9	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	-0.4	n=14
vs an FBS opponent + in September	18-14	56%from 48%	+1.4	n=32
+ at this venue	11-4	73%from 56%	+3.8	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 73%	-0.9	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 56%	-1.1	n=15
at home + at this venue	39-31	56%from 56%	+1.3	n=70
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-13	58%from 56%	-0.6	n=31
at home + vs an FBS opponent	32-28	53%from 56%	+0.8	n=60
+ in September	11-4	73%from 53%	+3.8	n=15
+ at this venue	11-4	73%from 73%	+3.8	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 73%	-0.9	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-12	54%from 53%	-2.0	n=26
+ at this venue	32-28	53%from 53%	+0.8	n=60
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-12	54%from 53%	-2.0	n=26
+ vs a P5 opponent	30-27	53%from 53%	+0.9	n=57
+ in September	9-3	75%from 53%	+4.7	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-12	54%from 53%	-2.0	n=26
+ at this venue	30-27	53%from 53%	+0.9	n=57
+ vs the Big 12	24-26	48%from 53%	-0.3	n=50
+ vs the Big 12	24-26	48%from 53%	-0.3	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 48%	-2.9	n=22
+ in September	3-3	50%from 48%	-3.4	n=6
+ at this venue	24-26	48%from 48%	-0.3	n=50

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.