How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Missouri — the basics
148 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 26-32 | 45% | -0.6 | n=58 |
| vs Georgia | 7-3 | 70% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| in a conference game | 47-51 | 48% | -0.7 | n=98 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 68-70 | 49% | -0.5 | n=138 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 57-61 | 48% | -1.0 | n=118 |
| vs the SEC | 47-51 | 48% | -0.7 | n=98 |
| in November | 29-17 | 63% | +4.8 | n=46 |
| at this venue | 4-1 | 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 35-29 | 55% | +0.3 | n=64 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Missouri — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +1.8 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 148 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game | n=148 |
Missouri — combinations
132 lean Missouri · 25 lean against
Read this first. 166 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 63% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs Georgia | 4-1 | 80%from 45% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + in a conference game | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| on the road + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 45% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| vs Georgia + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 70% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| in a conference game + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 48% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| vs an FBS opponent + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 49% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| vs a P5 opponent + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 48% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| vs the SEC + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 48% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| in November + in the last 5 seasons | 14-6 | 70%from 63% | +4.0 | n=20 |
| vs Georgia + in a conference game | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 70% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 70% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| + vs the SEC | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 70% | +3.6 | n=5 |
| + vs the SEC | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| + vs the SEC | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | -0.3 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 70% | +3.6 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.