Akron at Wake ForestWake Forest -22.5o/u 49.5

ST Model Wake Forest -15.7(-6.8 vs market)

Trends · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Akron — the basics

132 graded games since 2014

on the road	33-36	48%	-1.9	n=69
as an underdog	43-51	46%	-2.6	n=94
spread 21+	7-20	26%	-7.6	n=27
out of conference	15-25	38%	-2.1	n=40
vs an FBS opponent	56-68	45%	-2.8	n=124
vs a P5 opponent	7-14	33%	-5.3	n=21
in September	12-26	32%	-3.2	n=38
in the last 5 seasons	29-29	50%	-0.4	n=58

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Akron — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 132 graded games: -2.4 pts vs their number per game	n=132

Akron — combinations

2 lean Akron · 145 lean against

Read this first. 162 combinations shown. The best one here is 52%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 59% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + as an underdog	29-27	52%from 48%	-0.5	n=56
+ vs an FBS opponent	29-27	52%from 52%	-0.5	n=56
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-15	50%from 52%	+0.5	n=30
+ in September	9-13	41%from 52%	-1.8	n=22
+ vs a P5 opponent	7-11	39%from 52%	-3.9	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-15	50%from 52%	+0.5	n=30
+ out of conference	11-12	48%from 52%	-1.1	n=23
+ vs an FBS opponent	11-12	48%from 48%	-1.1	n=23
+ in September	9-10	47%from 48%	+0.7	n=19
+ vs a P5 opponent	7-11	39%from 48%	-3.9	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-8	38%from 48%	-4.4	n=13
+ in September	9-13	41%from 52%	-1.8	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-10	29%from 41%	-6.7	n=14
+ vs a P5 opponent	7-11	39%from 52%	-3.9	n=18
+ in September	5-10	33%from 39%	-3.8	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-8	27%from 39%	-6.6	n=11
+ spread 21+	7-15	32%from 52%	-6.6	n=22
+ vs an FBS opponent	7-15	32%from 32%	-6.6	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-9	25%from 32%	-6.2	n=12
+ vs a P5 opponent	3-10	23%from 32%	-9.7	n=13
+ out of conference	3-11	21%from 32%	-10.6	n=14
+ in September	1-10	9%from 32%	-12.1	n=11
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	27-27	50%from 45%	-0.8	n=54
as an underdog + in the last 5 seasons	24-24	50%from 46%	-0.8	n=48
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	16-16	50%from 48%	+0.3	n=32

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Wake Forest — the basics

142 graded games since 2014

at home	38-34	53%	+0.3	n=72
as a favorite	33-30	52%	+1.1	n=63
spread 21+	11-10	52%	-0.1	n=21
out of conference	25-22	53%	+1.0	n=47
vs an FBS opponent	70-63	53%	+1.1	n=133
vs a G5 opponent	11-14	44%	+0.4	n=25
in September	20-19	51%	+1.1	n=39
at this venue	38-34	53%	+0.3	n=72
in the last 5 seasons	31-30	51%	+0.3	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Wake Forest — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +7.8 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 142 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=142

Wake Forest — combinations

34 lean Wake Forest · 164 lean against

Read this first. 208 combinations shown. The best one here is 64%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 53%	+1.4	n=21
as a favorite + in the last 5 seasons	18-14	56%from 52%	+1.5	n=32
at home + as a favorite	23-18	56%from 53%	+1.9	n=41
+ vs an FBS opponent	18-14	56%from 56%	+2.1	n=32
+ at this venue	18-14	56%from 56%	+2.1	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 56%	+2.4	n=16
+ in September	5-6	45%from 56%	-0.7	n=11
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-6	33%from 56%	+0.2	n=9
+ at this venue	23-18	56%from 56%	+1.9	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 56%	+1.3	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 56%	+1.3	n=20
+ out of conference	11-12	48%from 56%	+0.3	n=23
+ at this venue	11-12	48%from 48%	+0.3	n=23
+ in September	7-8	47%from 48%	-0.4	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 48%	-0.7	n=11
+ vs a G5 opponent	8-10	44%from 48%	+0.6	n=18
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-8	43%from 48%	-0.1	n=14
+ in September	8-9	47%from 56%	-0.4	n=17
+ at this venue	8-9	47%from 47%	-0.4	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 47%	-2.3	n=9
+ spread 21+	5-6	45%from 56%	-0.8	n=11
+ out of conference	5-6	45%from 45%	-0.8	n=11
+ vs a G5 opponent	5-6	45%from 45%	-0.8	n=11
+ at this venue	5-6	45%from 45%	-0.8	n=11
+ in September	3-5	38%from 45%	-2.1	n=8
+ vs a G5 opponent	8-10	44%from 56%	+0.6	n=18
+ at this venue	8-10	44%from 44%	+0.6	n=18
+ in September	5-7	42%from 44%	+0.1	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 44%	-2.1	n=8

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.