Rutgers at Boston College

ST Model Rutgers -5.3
Trends · 2026 week 2
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Rutgers — the basics
138 graded games since 2014
on the road29-3049%-1.9n=59
out of conference24-1169%+3.9n=35
vs an FBS opponent64-6749%-2.2n=131
vs a P5 opponent56-6447%-3.0n=120
vs the ACC6-275%+5.5n=8
in September26-1662%+0.7n=42
in the last 5 seasons31-2952%-1.3n=60
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Rutgers — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 138 graded games: -1.9 pts vs their number per gamen=138
Rutgers — combinations
55 lean Rutgers · 6 lean against
Read this first. 73 combinations shown. The best one here is 92%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 70% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
vs the ACC + in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 75%+4.8n=6
in September + in the last 5 seasons16-480%from 62%+6.7n=20
vs the ACC + in September4-180%from 75%+5.9n=5
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons14-478%from 69%+6.0n=18
out of conference + vs the ACC6-275%from 69%+5.5n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 75%+4.8n=6
+ in September4-180%from 75%+5.9n=5
vs an FBS opponent + vs the ACC6-275%from 49%+5.5n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 75%+4.8n=6
+ in September4-180%from 75%+5.9n=5
vs a P5 opponent + vs the ACC6-275%from 47%+5.5n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 75%+4.8n=6
+ in September4-180%from 75%+5.9n=5
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent20-871%from 69%+4.4n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons11-379%from 71%+6.5n=14
+ vs the ACC6-275%from 71%+5.5n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 75%+4.8n=6
+ in September4-180%from 75%+5.9n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent12-571%from 71%+2.6n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons6-186%from 71%+4.6n=7
+ vs the ACC6-275%from 71%+5.5n=8
+ in September6-460%from 71%-0.7n=10
+ in September14-670%from 71%+4.3n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons9-190%from 70%+10.7n=10
out of conference + vs a P5 opponent12-571%from 69%+2.6n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons6-186%from 71%+4.6n=7
+ vs the ACC6-275%from 71%+5.5n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 75%+4.8n=6
+ in September4-180%from 75%+5.9n=5
+ in September6-460%from 71%-0.7n=10
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.